Huracan GASTON - Atlantico central
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- Tormenta Tropical
- Posts: 630
- Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am
Huracan GASTON - Atlantico central
Esta onda el CNH , le da un 30 % de posibilidad de desarrollo ciclónico en los 5 días según el GFS 18z.. la desarolla también hay que velarla ya que las condiciones estarán idoneas para su desarrollo.
Re: Onda tropical aun en Africa 0- 30 %
Hasta ayer, esta era la candidata favorita para ser invest 99L, pero la onda que estaba por Cabo Verde se le adelantó. Los modelos tienden a curvearla antes de la 50 Oeste, pero nada está escrito sobre piedra.
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
Re: Onda tropical aun en Africa 0- 30 %
Una pena que esta Onda no tenga el support de los auspiciadores...trae grasa bastante
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Onda tropical aun en Africa 0- 30 %
Así es David79 ya casi tiene los mismos % q el Invest99L
Llegara al Caribe?
Llegara al Caribe?
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Onda tropical aun en Africa 0- 30 %
Alerta por aquí!
Subió a 10%-50% igualito al Invest 99L
10%50%.
A tropical wave located inland over western Africa is producing a
large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. This wave is expected
to move offshore tonight and environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development while it moves generally
west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean during
the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
Subió a 10%-50% igualito al Invest 99L
10%50%.
A tropical wave located inland over western Africa is producing a
large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. This wave is expected
to move offshore tonight and environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development while it moves generally
west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean during
the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Onda tropical aun en Africa 0- 30 %
10-70
A tropical wave located near the coast of western Africa continues
to produce a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. This wave
is expected to move offshore tonight and environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development. This system is likely
to become a tropical depression by mid-week while it moves generally
west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
A tropical wave located near the coast of western Africa continues
to produce a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. This wave
is expected to move offshore tonight and environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development. This system is likely
to become a tropical depression by mid-week while it moves generally
west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Onda tropical aun en Africa 10- 70 %
A weak area of low pressure, associated with another tropical wave,
is moving off the coast of Senegal in western Africa while producing
a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form in a few days while the system moves
westward and then northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
is moving off the coast of Senegal in western Africa while producing
a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form in a few days while the system moves
westward and then northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
Re: Invest 90L- Atlantico Oriental - 30- 70 %
Es ahora Invest 90L.
90L INVEST 160821 0000 12.7N 16.8W ATL 20 1009
90L INVEST 160821 0000 12.7N 16.8W ATL 20 1009
Re: Invest 90L- Atlantico Oriental - 50- 80 %
An area of low pressure, associated with another tropical wave, has
moved off the coast of Senegal in western Africa, and is producing a
large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression
is likely to form in a few days while the system moves westward and
then northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
moved off the coast of Senegal in western Africa, and is producing a
large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression
is likely to form in a few days while the system moves westward and
then northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
Re: Invest 90L- Atlantico Oriental - 70% - 90 %
A punto de caramelo.
Cloudiness and thunderstorms located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean are associated with a low pressure area and tropical wave
that has moved off the west coast of Africa. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days
while the system moves westward and then northwestward over the
eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
Cloudiness and thunderstorms located over the far eastern Atlantic
Ocean are associated with a low pressure area and tropical wave
that has moved off the west coast of Africa. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days
while the system moves westward and then northwestward over the
eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent