CycloForums - Huracanes y Meteorología

Saludos
Seguimos activos en el tropico y ya tenemos un nuevo disturbio al sur de Cuba con 10%/60%

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI JUN 3 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of showers and thunderstorms has developed over the western
Caribbean Sea. This system is moving west-northwestward toward the
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, and a low pressure area is expected to
form over the Yucatan or the adjacent waters by late this weekend.
This low could develop into a tropical cyclone as it subsequently
moves across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and the Florida Peninsula
early next week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and
flooding are possible over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula,
western Cuba and the Florida Peninsula during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

Forecaster Beven

Saludos otra vez

Por lo que observo con relacion a los modelos todos desarrollan este disturbio no se quedo ni uno fuera de la fiesta y todos lo envian al golfo con un desarrollo continuo. A la verdad que la temporada comienza activa y yo no esperaba otra cosa.

Hasta el momento el Target es Florida.

Por aquí imagines que se actualizan cada 30 minutos para ver su evolución.

Sube a 20%/60%

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2016


A large area of showers and thunderstorms continues over the western
Caribbean Sea. This system is moving west-northwestward toward the
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, and a low pressure area is expected to
form over the Yucatan or the adjacent waters over the weekend.
This low could develop into a tropical cyclone as it subsequently
moves across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and the Florida Peninsula
early next week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and
flooding are possible over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula,
western Cuba and the Florida Peninsula during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

Forecaster Beven

Saludos

Ya es el Invest 93l

AL, 93, 2016060218, , BEST, 0, 161N, 792W, 25, 1012, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS004, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 004,
AL, 93, 2016060300, , BEST, 0, 162N, 803W, 25, 1012, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS004, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 004,
AL, 93, 2016060306, , BEST, 0, 163N, 813W, 25, 1012, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS004, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 004,
AL, 93, 2016060312, , BEST, 0, 164N, 824W, 25, 1012, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS004, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 004,
AL, 93, 2016060318, , BEST, 0, 166N, 835W, 25, 1012, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 200, 90, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST

sube a 30%/70%

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2016


1. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms continues
over the western Caribbean Sea. This system is moving
west-northwestward toward the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, and a low
pressure area is expected to form over the Yucatan or the adjacent
waters over the weekend. This low is likely to develop into a
tropical cyclone as it subsequently moves across the eastern Gulf of
Mexico and the Florida Peninsula early next week. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rains and flooding are possible over
portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba and the Florida
Peninsula during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Forecaster Pasch

Ahora a las 2am 50%/70%

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016

Widespread cloudiness and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean
Sea remain disorganized. A low pressure system is expected to form
in association with this disturbed weather over the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico or the adjacent waters by Sunday and drift
generally northward. Despite strong upper-level winds, this low is
likely to develop into a tropical cyclone as it subsequently moves
northeastward across the south-central and eastern Gulf of Mexico
early next week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and
flooding are possible over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula,
western Cuba and the Florida Peninsula during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Forecaster Kimberlain

Suben nuevamente los numeritos 70%/80% y Colin sera llamado el proximo sistema.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016

Widespread cloudiness and thunderstorms over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea are currently poorly organized. A low pressure
system is expected to form in association with this disturbed
weather over the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico or the adjacent waters
by tomorrow and move generally northward. Subsequently, this low is
likely to develop into a tropical cyclone as it moves northeastward
across the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and flooding are
possible over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba, the
Florida Keys, and the Florida Peninsula during the next several
days. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Forecaster Beven

Varios modelos concuerdan con la llamada de Colin.