CycloForums - Huracanes y Meteorología

Uff

Se está actualizando, pero nos da una idea de lo que trae esta corrida 00z del ECM.

Trayectoria de las 2am

Vigilante wrote: ↑Tue Sep 19, 2017 2:11 am Se está actualizando, pero nos da una idea de lo que trae esta corrida 00z del ECM.

Tks

After leaving Dominica, María is clearly seen moving on-track to the west-northwest. Next stop likely the #USVirginIslands then Puerto Rico.

John Morales

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Maria was located
near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 61.9 West. Maria is moving
toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. On the forecast
track, the eye of Maria will move over the northeastern Caribbean
Sea today, and approach the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico tonight
and Wednesday.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that the maximum sustained winds have decreased only slightly, to
near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher gusts. Maria is a category 4
hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some
fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day or two, but
Maria is forecast to remain an extremely dangerous category 4 or 5
hurricane while it approaches the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125
miles (205 km).

The minimum central pressure estimated from reconnaissance data is
942 mb (27.82 inches)

En ruta...

Aquí la salida de María según el Europeo 00z.

Vigilante wrote: ↑Tue Sep 19, 2017 2:30 am Aquí la salida de María según el Europeo 00z.

Yo estoy posteando las q no son Vigilante?

Este último frame parece encontrar la ruta del NHC