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Re: Invest 99L en el Atlántico Este (40-80%)
Posted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 7:02 pm
by hurrizonepr
GFS 18z pone una tormenta fuerte o huracan cat 1 rozando la costa Norte de PR e intensificandose en ese momento. La imagen es de GFS "simulated IR" en 156 Hrs.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0&ypos=375
Re: Invest 99L en el Atlántico Este (40-80%)
Posted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 7:23 pm
by Arlequín
Re: Invest 99L en el Atlántico Este (40-80%)
Posted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 7:28 pm
by StormWatch
Hmmmmmmm casi casi se parece a esta hora? O no?
![Image](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DGbBe-5XkAAEf79.jpg:large)
Re: Invest 99L en el Atlántico Este (40-80%)
Posted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 7:42 pm
by hurrizonepr
"Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Aug 4 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A broad and elongated area of low pressure is producing disorganized
shower and thunderstorm activity several hundred miles south and
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system has not become
better organized during the past 24 hours. However, environmental
conditions appear conducive for this system to consolidate and
develop during the next few days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by the early or middle part of next week while moving
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent."
Re: Invest 99L en el Atlántico Este (40-80%)
Posted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 8:35 pm
by StormWatch
Que falta de respeto, quien sabe si.....
![Image](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DGbQPhkXUAA0_O0.jpg:large)
Re: Invest 99L en el Atlántico Este (40-80%)
Posted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 8:45 pm
by Vigilante
Saludos. Corrida en movimiento del HWRF. Considero que al igual que el GFS con aquel categoría 5, el HWRF exagera su pronóstico.
![Image](https://scontent.fsig3-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t35.0-12/20629987_10154926097881985_1694266927_o.gif?fallback=1&oh=70c918765e2f9e0d61daa93cd07d28b8&oe=598786A2)
Re: Invest 99L en el Atlántico Este (40-80%)
Posted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 8:55 pm
by Vigilante
Por ahora luce lenta en el proceso de consolidar esa circulación. Ojalá aproveche el DMax.
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12
![Image](https://photos-6.dropbox.com/t/2/AAAFHV-YHexnd4bYjlVuh4ps6cRijENpKDO6prUKQPzyMw/12/243650088/png/32x32/1/_/1/2/Screenshot%202017-08-04%2020.53.39.png/EO-Lo9oBGKfJASACKAI/1hWiCY_HQ0rBsVhqhV4FWiKJS6Dj45tScc7VEGqXanQ?size=2048x1536&size_mode=3)
Re: Invest 99L en el Atlántico Este (40-80%)
Posted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 9:27 pm
by StormWatch
Esta rotando mejor, yikessssssssss!
![Image](http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/99L/imagery/swir_lalo-animated.gif)
Re: Invest 99L en el Atlántico Este (40-80%)
Posted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 9:31 pm
by Arlequín
StormWatch wrote: ↑Fri Aug 04, 2017 8:35 pm
Que falta de respeto, quien sabe si.....
Esa imagen superior derecha tiene cierto parecido a Matthew con la famosa carabela
![Surprised :o](./images/smilies/icon_e_surprised.gif)
Re: Invest 99L en el Atlántico Este (40-80%)
Posted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 9:35 pm
by Arlequín
Vigilante wrote: ↑Fri Aug 04, 2017 8:45 pm
Saludos. Corrida en movimiento del HWRF. Considero que al igual que el GFS con aquel categoría 5, el HWRF exagera su pronóstico.
Vigilante en esa imagen no se puede ver al final de la corrida como se despega del ambiente una gran vaguada al norte y trata de establecerse una alta presion al este de los EE.UU
![Image](http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/hwrf/2017080418-invest99l/slp42.png)
Espero me corrijan si me equivoco pero
![Mr. Green :mrgreen:](./images/smilies/icon_mrgreen.gif)