Tormenta Hermine (Invest 99L)
Re: Invest 99L al Norte de PR ( 50%-80%)
aqui dejo mucha lluvia mas de 10 pulgada de lluvia y parece que seguira lloviendo mas
Re: Invest 99L en las Bahamas ( 40%-70%)
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gaston, located about 1200 miles east-northeast of the
Leeward Islands.
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
moving westward at 15 to 20 mph through the southeastern Bahamas.
Satellite wind data and reports from an Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft this morning indicate that the system still
lacks a closed circulation, and that the strongest winds associated
with the system likely have decreased to below tropical storm
strength. In addition, shower and thunderstorm activity has become
significantly less organized during the past 24 hours. Although
upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development
during the next day or so, they could become a little more favorable
over the weekend or early next week when the wave is expected to
approach southern Florida or the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.
Regardless of development, heavy rains, with the potential to
cause flash floods and mudslides, are likely over Hispaniola
today. This system could produce gusty winds and locally heavy
rainfall over portions of the Bahamas during the next day or two.
Interests in South Florida and the Florida Keys should monitor the
progress of this disturbance since it is possible that some impacts,
at a minimum heavy rains and gusty winds, will occur beginning this
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gaston, located about 1200 miles east-northeast of the
Leeward Islands.
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
moving westward at 15 to 20 mph through the southeastern Bahamas.
Satellite wind data and reports from an Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft this morning indicate that the system still
lacks a closed circulation, and that the strongest winds associated
with the system likely have decreased to below tropical storm
strength. In addition, shower and thunderstorm activity has become
significantly less organized during the past 24 hours. Although
upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development
during the next day or so, they could become a little more favorable
over the weekend or early next week when the wave is expected to
approach southern Florida or the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.
Regardless of development, heavy rains, with the potential to
cause flash floods and mudslides, are likely over Hispaniola
today. This system could produce gusty winds and locally heavy
rainfall over portions of the Bahamas during the next day or two.
Interests in South Florida and the Florida Keys should monitor the
progress of this disturbance since it is possible that some impacts,
at a minimum heavy rains and gusty winds, will occur beginning this
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
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Re: Invest 99L al Norte de PR ( 50%-80%)
Por mi área, nada de nada, solo nubladoboleco wrote:aqui dejo mucha lluvia mas de 10 pulgada de lluvia y parece que seguira lloviendo mas
Re: Invest 99L en las Bahamas ( 30%-60%)
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
moving westward at 15 to 20 mph through the southeastern Bahamas.
This system has become less organized since yesterday, with only
minimal associated shower activity, and the chances for development
during the next 2 days have decreased. Overall, environmental
conditions are not expected to be as conducive for development of
this system as anticipated earlier this week. However, upper-level
winds could become a little more favorable over the weekend or early
next week when the system is expected to be near the Florida Keys or
over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.
Regardless of development, heavy rains, with the potential to
cause flash floods and mudslides, are likely over Hispaniola and
eastern Cuba through tomorrow. This system could produce gusty
winds and locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Bahamas during
the next day or two. Interests in South Florida and the Florida Keys
should monitor the progress of this disturbance since it is possible
that some impacts, such as heavy rains and gusty winds, will occur
beginning this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
moving westward at 15 to 20 mph through the southeastern Bahamas.
This system has become less organized since yesterday, with only
minimal associated shower activity, and the chances for development
during the next 2 days have decreased. Overall, environmental
conditions are not expected to be as conducive for development of
this system as anticipated earlier this week. However, upper-level
winds could become a little more favorable over the weekend or early
next week when the system is expected to be near the Florida Keys or
over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.
Regardless of development, heavy rains, with the potential to
cause flash floods and mudslides, are likely over Hispaniola and
eastern Cuba through tomorrow. This system could produce gusty
winds and locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Bahamas during
the next day or two. Interests in South Florida and the Florida Keys
should monitor the progress of this disturbance since it is possible
that some impacts, such as heavy rains and gusty winds, will occur
beginning this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
Re: Invest 99L en las Bahamas ( 30%-60%)
Bueno gente el GFS esta ganando esta revancha contra Los demas Modelos el apuesta a no desarrolla y hasta ahora Eso Es Lo que ha ganado. Veremos que pasa finalmente
Re: Invest 99L en las Bahamas ( 30%-60%)
Javier, sería como el regreso del ave Fénix, que renace de sus cenizas.Javier wrote:Bueno gente el GFS esta ganando esta revancha contra Los demas Modelos el apuesta a no desarrolla y hasta ahora Eso Es Lo que ha ganado. Veremos que pasa finalmente
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
Re: Invest 99L en las Bahamas ( 30%-60%)
Jajaja así mismo es Vigilante saludos.Vigilante wrote:Javier, sería como el regreso del ave Fénix, que renace de sus cenizas.Javier wrote:Bueno gente el GFS esta ganando esta revancha contra Los demas Modelos el apuesta a no desarrolla y hasta ahora Eso Es Lo que ha ganado. Veremos que pasa finalmente
Re: Invest 99L en las Bahamas ( 30%-60%)
A los administradores de Cycloforums nos complace compartir con ustedes las estadísticas de visitas a este Foro durante el periodo del invest 99L. Son buenos números si se considera que fuimos atacados por un spam y muchos usuarios quedaron bloqueados. El formato del foro al ser más organizado permite al usuario y visitante llevar una secuencia ordenada de la discusión y además resulta ser un archivo que mantiene récord del desarrollo del sistema que se observa.
Así que gracias a los que en esos días de soledad post-spam mantuvieron el Foro arriba con sus comentarios. Bueno, seguimos que el 99L ahora pudiera ser amenaza para el otro Puerto Rico, el que vive en Florida .
Así que gracias a los que en esos días de soledad post-spam mantuvieron el Foro arriba con sus comentarios. Bueno, seguimos que el 99L ahora pudiera ser amenaza para el otro Puerto Rico, el que vive en Florida .
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
Re: Invest 99L en las Bahamas ( 30%-60%)
Javier wrote:Bueno gente el GFS esta ganando esta revancha contra Los demas Modelos el apuesta a no desarrolla y hasta ahora Eso Es Lo que ha ganado. Veremos que pasa finalmente
Re: Invest 99L en las Bahamas ( 30%-60%)
Bueno David hablo de las últimas corridas , pero estos modelos en general han estado bien cambiantes todo el tiempo , ahora de nuevo el GFS cambia y lo desarrolla la última palabra la tiene la naturaleza solo somos espectadores