no se si han notado que el 90 % de los huracanes potentes que han pasado por PR. casi siempre son de domingo a martes . esos son los días de los azote de PR..
1. HORSENTIA , domingo a lunes .. 8 a 9 sept . 1996
2. Hugo , 18 sept 89.. lunes
3. Georges , 21, sept 98 , lunes 4.
4.santa Clara , lunes a marte 11 a 12 agosto 1956
5. Marilyn 15, 16 Sept. 1996 . domingo a lunes
San Ciprian , 26 sept 1932, lunes
con exepcion de Jean, Marilyn 95 , y san Felipe 1928 que fueron entre miércoles , jueves y viernes ....
Invest 92L al Sur de Florida (Anaranjado 40%-40%)
-
huracan_1975
- Tormenta Tropical
- Posts: 630
- Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am
-
huracan_1975
- Tormenta Tropical
- Posts: 630
- Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am
Re: 0-60% sistema sobre Africa que modelos desarrollan
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
2. A tropical wave is expected to move offshore of the west coast of
Africa on Monday night or Tuesday. Conditions are expected to be
favorable for development of this system later this week while it
moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under
WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.
Forecaster Stewart/Cangialosi
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
2. A tropical wave is expected to move offshore of the west coast of
Africa on Monday night or Tuesday. Conditions are expected to be
favorable for development of this system later this week while it
moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under
WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.
Forecaster Stewart/Cangialosi
-
StormWatch
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3731
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: 0-60% sistema sobre Africa que modelos desarrollan
Due WEST!
Boletin 8pm (Domingo, 28 Agosto, 2016)
Boletin 8pm (Domingo, 28 Agosto, 2016)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: 0-50% sistema sobre Africa que modelos desarrollan
saludos, veremos q nos trae
-
StormWatch
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3731
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: 0-50% sistema sobre Africa que modelos desarrollan
Mañana en la noche sale la nena del Continente Africano.........
Rumbo al "Caribe" (Eso dicen algunos modelitos)
Rumbo al "Caribe" (Eso dicen algunos modelitos)
Last edited by StormWatch on Sun Aug 28, 2016 10:17 pm, edited 5 times in total.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: 0-50% sistema sobre Africa que modelos desarrollan
se movera bien rapido que llegara en 7 dia al caribe
-
StormWatch
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3731
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: 0-50% sistema sobre Africa que modelos desarrollan
Maybe por esa razon no se convertira en un monstruo!boleco wrote:se movera bien rapido que llegara en 7 dia al caribe
Mayyyyyyybe!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: 0-50% sistema sobre Africa que modelos desarrollan
Buenos que hemos tenido hoy domingo, a ver...
Un Invest 99L y otro 90, 91 o no se que numero con algunos 40% de posibilidad de desarrollo en 48 horas que se convirtieron en depresiones tropicales hoy, y un Gaston que practicamente se convierte de tormenta a huracan mayor de un dia para otro, algo fuera de pronostico.
La pregunta es, como todo lo anterior podra afectar o influir en el desarrollo y trayectoria del futuro ciclon que estamos esperando que salga de Africa en 24 a 48 horas?
Un Invest 99L y otro 90, 91 o no se que numero con algunos 40% de posibilidad de desarrollo en 48 horas que se convirtieron en depresiones tropicales hoy, y un Gaston que practicamente se convierte de tormenta a huracan mayor de un dia para otro, algo fuera de pronostico.
La pregunta es, como todo lo anterior podra afectar o influir en el desarrollo y trayectoria del futuro ciclon que estamos esperando que salga de Africa en 24 a 48 horas?
-
huracan_1975
- Tormenta Tropical
- Posts: 630
- Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am
Re: 0-50% sistema sobre Africa que modelos desarrollan
el GFS Y CMC corridas 00z... entran al sistema como tormenta al caribe el GFS sobre PR. y el CMC.. al sur . veremos que pasa .
