Re: Huracán María
Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2017 7:42 pm
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Huracán María
https://huracanespr.net/cycloforums/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=3342444
Page 66 of 133
Re: Huracán María
Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2017 7:48 pm
Yo todo lo contrario. Yo veo un sistema en desarrollo con una explosion de conveccion bien importsnte y Gran tamano. Creo 1ue vamos a tener un Cat 3 o hasta 4 manana mismo. ME tire de pecho.
Re: Huracán María
Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2017 7:50 pm
BULLETIN
Hurricane Maria Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
800 PM AST Sun Sep 17 2017
...MARIA CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN AS IT APPROACHES THE LESSER
ANTILLES...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 57.9W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM ENE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM ESE OF DOMINICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Government of France has issued a Hurricane Warning for
Martinique.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* Dominica
* St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat
* Martinique
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua and Barbuda
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Lucia
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
* Anguilla
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Barbados
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico should
monitor the progress of this system. Additional Tropical Storm or
Hurricane Watches and Warnings will likely be issued tonight or on
Monday.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Maria was located
by the French radar on Martinique near latitude 14.0 North,
longitude 57.9 West. Maria is moving toward the west-northwest near
15 mph (24 km/h), and this motion with a decrease in forward speed
is expected through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of
Maria will move across the Leeward Islands Monday night and then
over the extreme northeastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours, and Maria could be near major hurricane intensity
when it moves across the Leeward Islands Monday night.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105
miles (165 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are first expected within portions of
the Leeward Islands by Monday night, with tropical storm conditions
beginning on Monday. Hurricane conditions are possible within the
hurricane watch area by Tuesday, with tropical storm conditions
possible Monday night. Tropical storm conditions are possible in
the tropical storm watch area Monday or Monday night.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge accompanied by large and
destructive waves will raise water levels by as much as 4 to 6 feet
above normal tide levels near where the center of Maria moves
across the Leeward Islands.
RAINFALL: Maria is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches across the
Leeward Islands, including Puerto Rico and the U.S. and British
Virgin Islands, through Wednesday night. Maria is also expected to
produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches for the northern
and central Windward Islands. In all the above areas, these
rainfall amounts could cause life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides.
SURF: Swells generated by Maria are affecting the Lesser Antilles.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Hurricane Maria Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
800 PM AST Sun Sep 17 2017
...MARIA CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN AS IT APPROACHES THE LESSER
ANTILLES...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 57.9W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM ENE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM ESE OF DOMINICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Government of France has issued a Hurricane Warning for
Martinique.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* Dominica
* St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat
* Martinique
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua and Barbuda
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Lucia
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
* Anguilla
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Barbados
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico should
monitor the progress of this system. Additional Tropical Storm or
Hurricane Watches and Warnings will likely be issued tonight or on
Monday.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Maria was located
by the French radar on Martinique near latitude 14.0 North,
longitude 57.9 West. Maria is moving toward the west-northwest near
15 mph (24 km/h), and this motion with a decrease in forward speed
is expected through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of
Maria will move across the Leeward Islands Monday night and then
over the extreme northeastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours, and Maria could be near major hurricane intensity
when it moves across the Leeward Islands Monday night.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105
miles (165 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are first expected within portions of
the Leeward Islands by Monday night, with tropical storm conditions
beginning on Monday. Hurricane conditions are possible within the
hurricane watch area by Tuesday, with tropical storm conditions
possible Monday night. Tropical storm conditions are possible in
the tropical storm watch area Monday or Monday night.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge accompanied by large and
destructive waves will raise water levels by as much as 4 to 6 feet
above normal tide levels near where the center of Maria moves
across the Leeward Islands.
RAINFALL: Maria is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches across the
Leeward Islands, including Puerto Rico and the U.S. and British
Virgin Islands, through Wednesday night. Maria is also expected to
produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches for the northern
and central Windward Islands. In all the above areas, these
rainfall amounts could cause life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides.
SURF: Swells generated by Maria are affecting the Lesser Antilles.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Re: Huracán María
Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2017 7:54 pm
Concuerdo. El sistema se ve en su mejor momento hasta ahora segun mis ojos. El boletin de las 8 confirma que sigue ganando en fuerza y organizacion.
Re: Huracán María
Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:02 pm
hurrizonepr esto da MIEDO! Cat 5hurrizonepr wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 7:42 pm Modelo HMON 18z pone a Maria con una presion barometrica impactante de 918mb previo a entrar a PR:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0&ypos=101
Re: Huracán María
Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:04 pm
Me parece a Las 5am de mañana debemos estar bajo vigilancia de huracán para PR. 
Re: Huracán María
Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:09 pm
Hay mama ahora sí que si exploto. Boto el buche de aire seco y se enrolló. Está creciendo a to tren. Me preocupa cuando pise el Mar Caribe. Creo que se puede dar el RIap como desvía Villafañez esta tarde en las letras pequeñas del boletín de las 5 creo.vaguada wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 7:15 pmLa veo bastante fea. Creo que hay algo de aire seco metiéndole las manosStormWatch wrote: ↑Sun Sep 17, 2017 7:06 pm Se está formando un ojo según leo en las redes sociales!
Re: Huracán María
Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:10 pm
Amigos foristas e invitados. Aqui vamos de nuevo.Siempre alguien le dira: "Eso no viene na " ...Por lo menos que yo recuerde desde mi infancia (me encantaban las tormentas ) nunca hubo una amenaza tan real para PR como esta.Claro esta, fenomenos que venian ya "creciditos" desde Cabo Verde llamaban mas la atencion que los que se forman y se fortalecen mas en nuestras "narices". Esta temporada 2017 es unica y diferente.
El que esta esperando que a ultima hora Maria de un giro, o se debilite, deje de esperar eso. Muevase ,Protejase usted ,su familia y entorno comunitario.Esto es una amenaza seria y real.No espere a ultima hora,sera tarde.
Irma solo nos "acaricio",Maria viene directamente y el escenario puede ser catastrofico. Mantengase informado correctamente con las fuentes oficiales.
El que esta esperando que a ultima hora Maria de un giro, o se debilite, deje de esperar eso. Muevase ,Protejase usted ,su familia y entorno comunitario.Esto es una amenaza seria y real.No espere a ultima hora,sera tarde.
Irma solo nos "acaricio",Maria viene directamente y el escenario puede ser catastrofico. Mantengase informado correctamente con las fuentes oficiales.
Re: Huracán María
Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:10 pm
Esta cogiendo forma. Ya va apuntando a categoría 2 sin que nada la detenga.
Re: Huracán María
Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:15 pm
Jummm ya casi le aplica la canción de Ricky Martin así es María ..... tan tan