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Tormenta Hermine (Invest 99L)

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CRASH
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Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 40%-60%

Post by CRASH »

Javier wrote:Bueno gente subió a 60/60
Muy merecido
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 40%-60%

Post by Villafañe »

60/60

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE AUG 23 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fiona, located several hundred miles north-northeast of
the Leeward Islands, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Gaston,
located about 450 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

1. A tropical wave located about 400 miles east-southeast of the
Leeward Islands is producing widespread cloudiness and
thunderstorms. Conditions are marginally conducive for gradual
development while the disturbance moves west-northwestward to
westward at 15 to 20 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to
become more conducive for a tropical depression to form by late this
week when the system is forecast to move near Hispaniola and Puerto
Rico, and the southeastern and central Bahamas. An Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system
later this morning. Interests in the central and northern Lesser
Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
categoria5
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Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 40%-60%

Post by categoria5 »

:geek: :geek: :geek: PUDIERAMOS TENER UNA TORMENTA TROPICAL :?: :?: :?: :?: :?: :?:
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 40%-60%

Post by Villafañe »

Que bien se ve a esta hora el 99l y ese 60% es importante dice mucho. Veremos
huracan sur
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Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 40%-60%

Post by huracan sur »

Villafañe wrote:60/60

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE AUG 23 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fiona, located several hundred miles north-northeast of
the Leeward Islands, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Gaston,
located about 450 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

1. A tropical wave located about 400 miles east-southeast of the
Leeward Islands is producing widespread cloudiness and
thunderstorms. Conditions are marginally conducive for gradual
development while the disturbance moves west-northwestward to
westward at 15 to 20 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to
become more conducive for a tropical depression to form by late this
week when the system is forecast to move near Hispaniola and Puerto
Rico, and the southeastern and central Bahamas. An Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system
later this morning. Interests in the central and northern Lesser
Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

Wow completamente diferente el lenguaje utilizado en este TWO, Ya no dice "Iff Necessary" Ahora si el avion va tarde en la mañana, algo tambien curioso es sobre el movimiento en los anteriores TWO decia " Move West to West-Norwhest" ahora lo contrario "Move WNW to West", y obvio monitoriar de cerca PR, ISV, RD ect. Este sistema me recuerda tantas tormentas plataneras como dice nuestro amigo David, pero por su posicion se me parace mucho a Maria 2009, y tambien a Irene 2011,
Bueno sobre el nombre Gaston, ya la de atras se gano el derecho y este nombre para los "mas viejitos del foro" saben que hay historia y que Historia!! verdad David.
Bueno a vigilar muy de cerca al 99L.
Para información oficial favor referirse a las agencias pertinentes. Un aficionado a la meteorología #TeamCycloforums
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Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 40%-60%

Post by Vigilante »

23/0545 UTC 15.9N 54.7W T1.0/1.0 99L -- Atlantic
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
huracan sur
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Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 40%-60%

Post by huracan sur »

Vigilante wrote:
23/0545 UTC 15.9N 54.7W T1.0/1.0 99L -- Atlantic
Saludos Vigilante esos son los T-num. o Best Track?

Por cierto excelente ubicacion. 8-)
Para información oficial favor referirse a las agencias pertinentes. Un aficionado a la meteorología #TeamCycloforums
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Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 40%-60%

Post by Vigilante »

Parece que esa inicialización...

Image


... se relaciona con esta ubicación extrapolada...
Image
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
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Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 40%-60%

Post by Vigilante »

huracan sur wrote:
Vigilante wrote:
23/0545 UTC 15.9N 54.7W T1.0/1.0 99L -- Atlantic
Saludos Vigilante esos son los T-num. o Best Track?

Por cierto excelente ubicacion. 8-)
Hey saludos. Son los T Numbers.
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
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Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 40%-60%

Post by StormWatch »

:twisted:


Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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