Huracán Matthew
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huracan_1975
- Tormenta Tropical
- Posts: 630
- Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am
Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
el HWRF18z .... muestra un sistema bien definido con condiciones myu favorable .
Last edited by huracan_1975 on Sun Sep 25, 2016 7:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
Mucho consenso de los ensemble 18 z.Obi-Wan wrote:Para mi lo mas importante a esta hora, es que los modelos dejan de pronosticar su trayectoria hacia el oeste llegando al oeste del Caribe y hasta el Golfo de Mexico. Ahora estan de acuerdo en recuvar sobre Santo Domingo. Lo importante sera ver si en proximas corridas estos modelos se ajustan mas hacia la derecha, o sea si recurva sobre o nosotros o no. Los esemble models, posteenlos por aqui cuando salgan, sera interesante verlos.
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
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huracan_1975
- Tormenta Tropical
- Posts: 630
- Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am
Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
el HWRF 18z... a 93 horas tiene al sistema al sur este de PR en la 14. 5 y 61.9 , moviendose al oeste noroeste , con gitros al norte de vez en cuando . y se mueve lento como un huracan Cat. 2 (100 mph ) y no ha terminado la trayectoria .
Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
Para que dia mas o menos estara en nuestra area?
Para informacion oficial dirigirse al website de NHC.
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huracan_1975
- Tormenta Tropical
- Posts: 630
- Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am
Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
el HWRF 18z .. sigue moviendose lento y ganando fuerza . sigue al sur este de PR a 99 horas . aun no termina la corrida .
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StormWatch
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3741
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
Demonios según los leo a ustedes y a Vigilante más miedo me da!
Perdonen la palabra anterior! Ya en breve doy una leve alerta a mi familia por precaución y ver q tengo extra en mi alacena!
Perdonen la palabra anterior! Ya en breve doy una leve alerta a mi familia por precaución y ver q tengo extra en mi alacena!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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huracan_1975
- Tormenta Tropical
- Posts: 630
- Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am
Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
el HWRF 18z tiene un poderso huracan de Cat 3 o mas al sur de PR. a 108 horas en la lat . 14.3 y 65.3 . y sigue trayecoria , aun no termina ...
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StormWatch
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3741
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure
area located about 1300 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands
has changed little in organization since earlier today.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this
week while the low moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20
mph. Interests in the Windward Islands, the southeastern and
south-central Caribbean Sea, as well as the northern coast of South
America, should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
Forecaster Pasch
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure
area located about 1300 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands
has changed little in organization since earlier today.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this
week while the low moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20
mph. Interests in the Windward Islands, the southeastern and
south-central Caribbean Sea, as well as the northern coast of South
America, should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
Forecaster Pasch
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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huracan_1975
- Tormenta Tropical
- Posts: 630
- Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am
Re: Invest 97L al sureste de las Antillas Menores 30%-90%
el HWRF 18Z... tiene un cat.4 casi, al sur de PR . en la lat . 14.5 y 66.0 . movienodse lento y ganado mas fuerza . condiciones muy favorables .
