CycloForums - Huracanes y Meteorología

el GFS 12Z.. con cambios a esta hora se mueve mas lento y un giro mas la norte que en corridas anteriores 168 horas cerca de haiti y este cuba , pero mas por este de cuba al fin el GFS ve el frente frio y la vaguada al norte de esta . eso lo hara girar mas al norte que al oeste .... se une an algo al Europeo de 00z ..

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Modelo GFS 12z sorprende con una cambio alguito similar al del Europeo. Sube al futuro Matthews entre Haití y Jamaica.

el CMC o Gem 12Z.. 126 horas Mas fuerte y algo mas al oeste veremos como termina

EL CMC O GEM 12z. se une al EURO , GFS ....192 horas .....

sera que el modelo NAGVEM siempre tenia la razon

GFS, Europeo, CMC y Navgem hacen más interesante el escenario, mientras el 97L parece ajustarse hacia los 8+ grados de latitud.

Subiooooooooo 30%-90%


Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area about
1500 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands are showing some
signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form later this week while the low moves westward to west-
northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the Windward Islands,
the southeastern and south-central Caribbean Sea, as well as the
northern coast of South America, should monitor the progress of this
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Storm Karl, located several hundred miles south-
southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area about
1500 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands are showing some
signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form later this week while the low moves westward to west-
northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the Windward Islands,
the southeastern and south-central Caribbean Sea, as well as the
northern coast of South America, should monitor the progress of this
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent



* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Forecaster Kimberlain

Ese cono muy estrecho.......???????

El cono es de formación ni de trayectoria final.