Huracan Laura
-
StormWatch
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 98l con 30%/70%
Asi se ve el 98L en el visible...
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Invest 98l con 30%/70%
En la animacion se ve un claro movimiento al oeste
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ROCKstormSJ4315
- Tormenta Tropical
- Posts: 888
- Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:09 pm
- Location: Hato Rey, San Juan, PR
Re: Onda tropical-Atlantico oriental 0%-50%
"Georgy Girl", The Seekers
"Back for Good", Take That
"Perfectionist", SAGA
"Graves Into Gardens", Elevation Worship ft. Brandon Lake
"Thunder", Imagine Dragons
"Viva la Vida", Coldplay
"Back for Good", Take That
"Perfectionist", SAGA
"Graves Into Gardens", Elevation Worship ft. Brandon Lake
"Thunder", Imagine Dragons
"Viva la Vida", Coldplay
-
ROCKstormSJ4315
- Tormenta Tropical
- Posts: 888
- Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:09 pm
- Location: Hato Rey, San Juan, PR
Re: Invest 98l con 30%/70%
Saludos StormWatch:
En ellos se ve dispersión amplia a largo plazo lo que es normal teniendo en cuenta que aún está lejos. Pero aunque no me gusta opinar mucho de modelos a largo plazo, lo que veo hasta ahora es que pasaría hacia el noreste nuestro pero no a mucha distancia. Esa alta que mencionan va a ser una de las métricas importantes.
"Georgy Girl", The Seekers
"Back for Good", Take That
"Perfectionist", SAGA
"Graves Into Gardens", Elevation Worship ft. Brandon Lake
"Thunder", Imagine Dragons
"Viva la Vida", Coldplay
"Back for Good", Take That
"Perfectionist", SAGA
"Graves Into Gardens", Elevation Worship ft. Brandon Lake
"Thunder", Imagine Dragons
"Viva la Vida", Coldplay
Re: Invest 98L con 60%/90%
2. Satellite images indicate that a broad area of low pressure located
about 700 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become
better organized since yesterday, with increasing banding features
near the center. Environmental conditions are conducive for further
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within a
couple days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Forecaster Blake
about 700 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become
better organized since yesterday, with increasing banding features
near the center. Environmental conditions are conducive for further
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within a
couple days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Forecaster Blake
-
StormWatch
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 98L con 60%/90%
Cada hora luce mejor, ya tiene bandas en espiral.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Invest 98L con 60%/90%
Actualización de los modelos
Re: Invest 98L con 60%/90%
Buenas noches, ¿Quién vive?
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
Re: Invest 98L con 60%/90%
Noten que el GFS es el llanero solitario y que al plazo de 120 horas hay consenso de un Cat 1.
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
Re: Invest 98L con 60%/90%
Los modelos de trayectoria 00z lucen muy alineados para ser a tan largo plazo. Se mantiene la tendencia de que se posicione una H que fuerce el movimiento al W cuando esté por el NE del Caribe. Incluso se reflejó en la corrida 12z del GFS y del ECMWF.
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.