, así que ojo con esta. 
Ex Invest 94l
Re: Onda tropical saldra el 4/9/19 de Africa/0-70%
El GFS muestra huracán cerca al norte de , así que ojo con esta.
, así que ojo con esta. 
Re: Onda tropical saldra el 4/9/19 de Africa/0-70%
Se mantiene en 70 pero hay algo importante para resaltar
y es que el cono de desarrollo anteriormente lo mostraban girando hacia el WNW ahora parece ir mas hacia el W
y es que el cono de desarrollo anteriormente lo mostraban girando hacia el WNW ahora parece ir mas hacia el W
Re: Onda tropical saldra el 4/9/19 de Africa/0-70%
La onda tropical que segumos aca esta casi llegando al Atlantico, ya los modelos no lo muestran tan al norte como antes... claro esto solo es a largo plazo pero seria muy importante mantenerse atentos por si acaso... ademas hay que mencionar que hay varios sistemas detras de esta que merencen tambien darle seguimiento ya que los ensembles del EURO y GFS lo muestran con desarrollo cuando se acerquen a las antillas
Re: Onda tropical saldra el 4/9/19 de Africa/0-70%
El modelo GFS lleva dos corridas acercandolo a PR con una trayectoria similar a Dorian pasando cerca se las Bahamas
modelo GFS 18z 3sep
Corrida modelo GFS 0z 4 sep
con una trayectoria similar a Dorian pasando cerca se las Bahamas modelo GFS 18z 3sep
Corrida modelo GFS 0z 4 sep
Re: Onda tropical saldra el 4/9/19 de Africa/0-70%
Boletín 2 a.m. 4 se septiembre. Se queda en 70% en 5 días
A tropical wave is forecast to emerge over the far eastern tropical Atlantic between Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands later today. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or over the weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Re: Onda tropical saldra el 4/9/19 de Africa/0-70%
Imagen reciente no se actualiza
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StormWatch
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
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- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Onda tropical saldra el 4/9/19 de Africa/0-70%
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
StormWatch
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Onda tropical saldra el 4/9/19 de Africa/0-70%
Bajo a 60% en 5 días....
A tropical wave is forecast to emerge later today over the far
eastern tropical Atlantic west of Africa. Environmental conditions
are forecast to become mostly conducive for development late this
week, and this system has the potential to become a tropical
depression over the weekend or early next week while it moves
westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
A tropical wave is forecast to emerge later today over the far
eastern tropical Atlantic west of Africa. Environmental conditions
are forecast to become mostly conducive for development late this
week, and this system has the potential to become a tropical
depression over the weekend or early next week while it moves
westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
Georges_98
- Invest
- Posts: 230
- Joined: Fri Sep 02, 2016 2:27 am
Re: Onda tropical saldra el 4/9/19 de Africa/0-70%
Eso es correcto, bajó a 60 % en 5 días. Realmente no me parece que sea una gran noticia. Ese sistema mientras más tiempo le tome evolucionar, más tiempo correrá due west debido al fortalecimiento de la High que está posada en el atlántico. Quizás esa sea la razón por la que los modelos comienzan a verlo más cerca de la isla al prolongar el pronóstico. Saludos Stormwatch!
Re: Onda tropical saldra el 4/9/19 de Africa/0-60%
2. A tropical wave along the coast of Africa is forecast to emerge
over the eastern Atlantic later today. Environmental conditions
appear to be conducive for some slow development late this week,
and this system has the potential to become a tropical depression
over the weekend or early next week while it moves westward across
the tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.