Re: Invest 99L saliendo de Africa... 40%-60%
Posted: Fri Sep 21, 2018 8:16 pm
El HWRF muestra en esta corrida un sistema mas robusto en comparación con las demás corridas
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Tormenta Kirk
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Re: Invest 99L saliendo de Africa... 40%-60%
Posted: Fri Sep 21, 2018 8:58 pm
Corrida de los modelos de 00z
Re: Invest 99L saliendo de Africa... 50%-60%
Posted: Sat Sep 22, 2018 1:59 am
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Eleven, located about 500 miles east of the
Windward Islands.
1. Showers and thunderstorms have been increasing since last evening
near the center of a low pressure system located about 550 miles
south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for further development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two
while the low moves westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean at
about 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Eleven, located about 500 miles east of the
Windward Islands.
1. Showers and thunderstorms have been increasing since last evening
near the center of a low pressure system located about 550 miles
south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for further development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two
while the low moves westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean at
about 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Re: Invest 99L saliendo de Africa... 50%-60%
Posted: Sat Sep 22, 2018 7:40 am
sturbance 1: 80% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours
As of 8:00 am EDT Sat Sep 22 2018 ...
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to become better
organized near the center of a low pressure system located about
500 miles south of the southern Cabo Verde Islands, and a tropical
depression appears to be forming. If these trends continue,
advisories will be initiated on this system later today while the
low moves westward at about 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
As of 8:00 am EDT Sat Sep 22 2018 ...
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to become better
organized near the center of a low pressure system located about
500 miles south of the southern Cabo Verde Islands, and a tropical
depression appears to be forming. If these trends continue,
advisories will be initiated on this system later today while the
low moves westward at about 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Re: Invest 99L saliendo de Africa... 80%-80%
Posted: Sat Sep 22, 2018 9:05 am
Subieron los numeros tal vez por esto...
aun que parece tener varios vortices
aun que parece tener varios vortices
Re: Invest 99L saliendo de Africa... 80%-80%
Posted: Sat Sep 22, 2018 9:09 am
Re: Tormenta Kirk ( invest 99L)
Posted: Sat Sep 22, 2018 10:32 am
CNH decidió clasificar al 99L como tormenta Kirk.
Re: Tormenta Kirk ( invest 99L)
Posted: Sat Sep 22, 2018 11:01 am
no me lo esperaba tan rapido... pense que para el atardecer o en la noche pero no ahora jejeje
Re: Tormenta Kirk ( invest 99L)
Posted: Sat Sep 22, 2018 11:25 am
New Tropical Storm Kirk
11:00 AM AST Sat Sep 22
Location: 8.3°N 23.6°W
Moving: W at 14 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
John Morales:
Healthy for days, but long term prospects are iffy. Even NHC shows long-term weakening.
11:00 AM AST Sat Sep 22
Location: 8.3°N 23.6°W
Moving: W at 14 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
John Morales:
Healthy for days, but long term prospects are iffy. Even NHC shows long-term weakening.
Re: Tormenta Kirk ( invest 99L)
Posted: Sat Sep 22, 2018 11:55 am
Aun que el GFS lo muestra un poco mas fuerte en esta corrida, sin embargo el viento cortante parece que sera bastante fuerte
