Huracán Irma
Re: Tormenta Tropical Irma
Saludos amigos
Por fin parece que tendremos un huracán Cabo Verde digno de observar, ya era hora tantas temporadas sin uno que ya me estaba desesperando, interesante la bajada de latitud que sugieren los modelos, me recuerda a el huracán Luis un poco por la posible trayectoria, así que hay que estar muy pendientes que este si se quedara en la 16n o 17n podría acercarse a las Antillas si en efecto la Alta Presión lo obliga a buscar hacia el suroeste como sugieren los modelos, tendremos taller los próximos días, ojo con Irma.
Por fin parece que tendremos un huracán Cabo Verde digno de observar, ya era hora tantas temporadas sin uno que ya me estaba desesperando, interesante la bajada de latitud que sugieren los modelos, me recuerda a el huracán Luis un poco por la posible trayectoria, así que hay que estar muy pendientes que este si se quedara en la 16n o 17n podría acercarse a las Antillas si en efecto la Alta Presión lo obliga a buscar hacia el suroeste como sugieren los modelos, tendremos taller los próximos días, ojo con Irma.
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Tormenta Tropical Irma
A 54 horas
![Image](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017083012/gfs_z850_vort_atl_8.png)
![Image](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017083012/gfs_z850_vort_atl_8.png)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Tormenta Tropical Irma
El GFS en su corrida de las 12z, en la 40w ya tiene 986mb, lo ve muy fuerte ahora.
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Tormenta Tropical Irma
A 80 horas
![Image](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017083012/gfs_z850_vort_atl_14.png)
![Image](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017083012/gfs_z850_vort_atl_14.png)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Tormenta Tropical Irma
Todo es conjeturas!!!!!!
![Image](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIfNT-rVwAAeStH?format=jpg&name=large)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Tormenta Tropical Irma
975mb en la 45w esta corrida del GFS facilmente tendra un huracan mayor al este de las antillas y cuidado que no sea un 4 0 5 ![Surprised :o](./images/smilies/icon_e_surprised.gif)
![Surprised :o](./images/smilies/icon_e_surprised.gif)
Last edited by Villafañe on Wed Aug 30, 2017 12:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Tormenta Tropical Irma
Aquí está bajando
![Image](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017083012/gfs_z850_vort_atl_17.png)
![Image](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017083012/gfs_z850_vort_atl_17.png)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Tormenta Tropical Irma
Espero q suba lo más pronto posible.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Tormenta Tropical Irma
Ya el empujon viene incluido en esta corrida, veremos cual es la magnitud del mismo. 967mb a 108 horas
Re: Tormenta Tropical Irma
Tener un impacto directo es como tener buscar una aguja en un pajar. PR es muy pequeno para que un sistema justamente pase por encima de la isla. Y como ya saben, cualquier sistema que pase a mas de 150 millas al norte tipo categoria 2 o mas el impacto es minimo. Tener otro George por la isla es como ganar la lotto.
Mientras tanto, bloqueen la entrada al foro de Stormwatch y de Carlos P cuestion de darle mas oportunidad al sistema.
![Laughing :lol:](./images/smilies/icon_lol.gif)
Mientras tanto, bloqueen la entrada al foro de Stormwatch y de Carlos P cuestion de darle mas oportunidad al sistema.
![Laughing :lol:](./images/smilies/icon_lol.gif)
![Laughing :lol:](./images/smilies/icon_lol.gif)
![Laughing :lol:](./images/smilies/icon_lol.gif)
![Laughing :lol:](./images/smilies/icon_lol.gif)