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boleco
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Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%

Post by boleco »

se ve bien aqui
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CarlosP
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Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%

Post by CarlosP »

Recoger toda esa energia va a tardar un buen rato. Probablemente 48 horas mas antes de poder ver ciclogenesis con 91L. No creo que el SAL y aire seco sean problema. Si estoy pensando que una tormenta moderada al sur de Puerto Rico a unas 150+ millas es posible, pero cualquer cosa que se pueda ir por el sur hay que echarle el ojo encima y no perderlo. Otra vez, echandole buenas vibras a 91L :)
Siempre recuerden esto:

Los sistemas tropicales no se mueven en linea recta, se mueven es "zig-zag", o oscilaciones. Es normal que este a 290 grados y de momento vaya a 270 grados, esto hace un promedio de 280 grados, lo cual es Oeste-Noroeste. Es normal.
Hugo1989
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Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%

Post by Hugo1989 »

Bueno, ya podemos decir que tenemos tendencias de los modelos. Veremos que tan cerca pasa al sur de PR.
StormWatch
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Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%

Post by StormWatch »

Según Best Track por aquí anda la cosaaaaaaaaa
AL, 91, 2017081500, , BEST, 0, 132N, 370W, 25, 1011, DB

13.2 - 37.0 No veo NADA en esa posición.......

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
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Location: Texas, USA

Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%

Post by StormWatch »

Ni modo...

A tropical wave extends from 22N25W to 13N27W moving W at 10-15
kt. The wave coincides with 700 mb troughing between 21W-29W and a
maximum in 850 mb relative vorticity at the southern extent of
the wave near 13N27W. The wave is expected to inject energy into
a 1011 mb low embedded within the monsoon trough near 13N35W by
Tuesday. Environmental conditions are expected to become more
conducive for development of this low later in the week with a
medium chance for tropical cyclone formation within 5 days. Widely
scattered moderate convection is from 11N-15N between 26-33W.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
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Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%

Post by StormWatch »

?

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Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
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Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%

Post by StormWatch »

StormWatch wrote: Mon Aug 14, 2017 10:06 pm Según Best Track por aquí anda la cosaaaaaaaaa
AL, 91, 2017081500, , BEST, 0, 132N, 370W, 25, 1011, DB

13.2 - 37.0 No veo NADA en esa posición.......

Image

:?: 13.2 - 37.0 :?:

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
boleco
Tormenta Tropical
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Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%

Post by boleco »

que sera que ven esto modelo que yo no veo´
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StormWatch
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Location: Texas, USA

Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%

Post by StormWatch »

Cuando se forme me dan un CALL!

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Acevedo
Onda Tropical
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Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2015 6:29 pm

Re: INVEST 91L al oestesuroeste de Cabo Verde: 30%-60%

Post by Acevedo »

En mi opinion, lo que sea saldra de lo que está por la 30o combinado. Que creen??
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