Huracán Matthew

[Obi-Wan]

Este Mathew a tenido una habilidad para evitar tierra brutal!!!

[edgardo]

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
500 PM EDT THU OCT 06 2016

...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW ABOUT TO HIT
FREEPORT IN THE BAHAMAS...
...POTENTIALLY DISASTROUS IMPACTS FOR FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 78.6W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SSE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ESE OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warning has been extended northward to South Santee
River, South Carolina.

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from north of South Santee
River to Surf City, North Carolina.

The Government of the Bahamas has discontinued the Hurricane Warning
for the Central Bahamas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island, Berry
Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New Providence
* North of Golden Beach to South Santee River
* Lake Okeechobee

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Chokoloskee to Golden Beach
* Florida Keys from Seven Mile Bridge eastward
* Florida Bay
* Anclote River to Suwannee River
* North of South Santee River to Surf City

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Chokoloskee to Anclote River

Interests elsewhere in the Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, and
in the Carolinas should monitor the progress of Matthew.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located
near latitude 26.2 North, longitude 78.6 West. The hurricane
is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue tonight with a turn toward
the north-northwest early Friday. On the forecast track, the
eye of Matthew should move near or over Freeport in the Bahamas
in the next hour or so, and move close to or over the east coast
of the Florida peninsula through Friday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher
gusts. Matthew is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely
while the hurricane moves toward the coast of Florida.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
(295 km). Settlement Point in the Bahamas, recently reported a
sustained wind of 54 mph (87 km/h) with a gust of 62 mph (100
km/hr).

The minimum central pressure reported by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter
plane was 938 mb (27.70 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions will continue over portions of the
northwestern Bahamas this evening.

Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach the hurricane
warning area in Florida this evening and will spread northward
within the warning area through Friday. Tropical storm conditions
will continue to spread northward in the warning area along the
Florida east coast tonight and Friday.

Hurricane conditions are expected to spread northward in the warning
area in Georgia and South Carolina Friday night and Saturday with
tropical storm conditions expected on Friday.

Winds increase rapidly in elevation in a tropical cyclone.
Residents in high-rise buildings should be aware that the winds at
the top of a 30-story building will be, on average, about one
Saffir-Simpson category higher than the winds near the surface.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning
area in the Carolinas on Friday night and Saturday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large
and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the
following amounts above normal tide levels...

Northwestern Bahamas...10 to 15 feet

The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Sebastian Inlet, Florida, to Edisto Beach, South Carolina, including
portions of the St. Johns River...7 to 11 ft
Edisto Beach to South Santee River, South Carolina...4 to 6 ft
Deerfield Beach to Sebastian Inlet, Florida...4 to 6 ft
South Santee River, South Carolina, to Cape Fear, North Carolina...2
to 4 ft
Virginia Key to Deerfield Beach, Florida...1 to 3 ft

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur
well in advance of and well away from the track of the center.

The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. There is a danger of life-
threatening inundation during the next 36 hours along the Florida
east coast, the Georgia coast, and the South Carolina coast from
Deerfield Beach, Florida, to South Santee River, South Carolina.
There is the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the
next 48 hours from north of South Santee River, South Carolina, to
Cape Fear, North Carolina. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning
Graphic. For information specific to your area, please see products
issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of
areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or
warning currently under development by the National Weather Service
and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is
available at hurricanes.gov.

RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in
the following areas:

The central and northern Bahamas...8 to 12 inches, isolated 15
inches
Coastal eastern Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and southeast
North Carolina....5 to 10 inches, isolated 12 inches

Rainfall should diminish across central and eastern Cuba with
isolated additional amounts of 1 to 2 inches possible through this
evening.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two is possible along the
east-central Florida coast tonight.

SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions
of the north coast of Cuba and the Bahamas during the next few days,
and will spread northward along the east coast of Florida and the
southeast U.S. coast through the weekend. These swells will likely
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

[StormWatch]

Nasty!

[Vigilante]

Matthew en pleno proceso de reemplazo de la pared de su ojo.

Antes:



Ahora 6:30 pm:

[Zeus_PR]

El site del NHC esta fuera del aire a esta hora 11:03 pm.

No boletines por el momento.

[ROCKstormSJ4315]

No solo el doppler ser cae, tambien pueden ocurrir problemas tecnicos en la pagina de la NOAA y en este momento . Espero se resuleva pronto el problema tecnico:

Aqui de la pagina del NHC:

" Special Message from NHC Issued 7 Oct 2016 05:54 UTC
Intermittent connectivity issues continue regarding access to NCEP websites, including that of the National Hurricane Center. The National Weather Service is troubleshooting the issue, but at this time there is no estimate for when the problem will be resolved. Please follow @NHC_Atlantic on Twitter for product updates on Hurricane Matthew".

De la pagina en Twitter:

"NHC Atlantic Ops ‏@NHC_Atlantic 2 hHace 2 horas
NWS Administrative Message on website connectivity issues:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nous42kwno/

"NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS
PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT BRANCH
SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST


SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS COLLEGE PARK MD
0408Z FRI OCT 07 2016


NCEP WEBSITE CONNECTIVITY UPDATE...

PROBLEMS IN ACCESSING NCEP WEBSITES HAVE BEEN TRACED TO A
TECHNICAL ISSUE AT THE WOC. WOC/NCO SUPPORT HAS BEEN NOTIFIED
AND ARE TROUBLESHOOTING THE ISSUE...ETA IS UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME".

[megadicto]

que suerte tiene esa gente en EU...mientras Haiti

[Joe Man]

000
WTNT34 KNHC 071156
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 37A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
800 AM EDT FRI OCT 07 2016

...EYEWALL OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW HUGGING THE COAST OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.9N 80.3W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM NNE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM ESE OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...944 MB...27.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning along the east coast of Florida south
of Jupiter Inlet has been discontinued.

The Hurricane Warning from north of Jupiter Inlet to Sebastian Inlet
has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning.

The government of the Bahamas has discontinued the Hurricane Warning
for the Bahamas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

* Sebastian Inlet to South Santee River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Jupiter Inlet to Sebastian Inlet
* Anclote River to Suwannee River
* North of South Santee River to Surf City

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Anna Maria Island to Anclote River

Interests elsewhere in the Florida Peninsula and in the Carolinas
should monitor the progress of Matthew.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located
near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 80.3 West. Matthew is moving
toward the north-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the north is
expected tonight or Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of
Matthew will be moving near or over the east coast of the Florida
peninsula through tonight, and near or over the coasts of Georgia
and South Carolina on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher
gusts. Matthew is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Although weakening is forecast during the
next 48 hours, Matthew is expected to be a category 3 hurricane as
it moves near the coast of Florida today.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles (295 km). Cape Canaveral recently reported and wind gust to
97 mph (155 km/h), and Daytona Beach reported a wind gust of 67 mph
(110 km/h).

The latest minimum central pressure reported by the reconnaissance
aircraft was 944 mb (27.86 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are expected to
continue over the warning area in Florida during the next several
hours, and spread northward within the warning area through today.
Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread northward in the
warning area along the Florida west coast today.

Hurricane conditions are expected to spread northward in the warning
area in Georgia and South Carolina tonight and Saturday with
tropical storm conditions expected later today.

Winds increase rapidly in elevation in a tropical cyclone.
Residents in high-rise buildings should be aware that the winds at
the top of a 30-story building will be, on average, about one
Saffir-Simpson category higher than the winds near the surface.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning
area in the Carolinas tonight and Saturday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge, the tide,
and large and destructive waves will cause normally dry areas near
the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the
shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground
if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Sebastian Inlet, Florida, to Edisto Beach, South Carolina, including
portions of the St. Johns River...7 to 11 ft
Edisto Beach to South Santee River, South Carolina...4 to 6 ft
Jupiter Inlet to Sebastian Inlet, Florida...4 to 6 ft
South Santee River, South Carolina, to Cape Fear, North Carolina...2
to 4 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water
rises to occur well in advance of and well away from the track of
the center. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

Water levels in the northwestern Bahamas should continue to subside
during the day.

There is a danger of life-threatening inundation during the next 36
hours along the Florida east coast, the Georgia coast, and the South
Carolina coast from Jupiter Inlet, Florida, to South Santee River,
South Carolina. There is the possibility of life-threatening
inundation during the next 48 hours from north of South Santee
River, South Carolina, to Cape Fear, North Carolina. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the Prototype National Weather Service
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of
areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or
warning currently under development by the National Weather Service
and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is
available at hurricanes.gov.

RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
8 to 12 inches over the Atlantic coast of the United States from
central Florida to eastern North Carolina...with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 15 inches. This rainfall may result in flooding
and flash flooding.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two is possible along the
east-central Florida coast today.

SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions
of the Bahamas and the east coast of Florida during the next few
days, and will spread northward along the southeast U.S. coast
through the weekend. These swells will likely cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

[Zeus_PR]

Ahora el pronostico de 5 días NHC lo mueve mas hacia el "east" pasando por Bahamas denuevo pero esta vez como depresion.

[Vigilante]

Todavía es posible que Matthew bordee la costa de Florida, Georgia y las Carolinas sin que su ojo toque tierra, entonces que baje de nuevo hacia el Sur de Florida, pero se detenga y regrese al Atlántico pasando al Sur de Bermudas. Si se desplaza así, sería una trayectoria para recordar., pues no pasaría completamente sobre tierra.