Huracán Irma
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Esta es la comparación de los modelos (78 horas)
12Z - 19.44N 64.06W
18Z - 19.56N 64.97W
12Z - 19.44N 64.06W
18Z - 19.56N 64.97W
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Eso quiere decir que está más al sur de los pensado
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
18z GFS (De 72 a 90 HORAS) Demasiado cerca!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
NWS San Juan, 5:33 pm (Extracto):
Irma is expected to remain a dangerous major hurricane through
the upcoming week and could directly affect the U.S. Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico. Residents should monitor the progress
of Irma and listen to advice given by officials. Tropical storm
or hurricane watches could be issued for the U.S. Virgin Islands
and Puerto Rico tomorrow.
Based on the latest forecast from the NHC, the northern USVI,
Culebra and the eastern half of Puerto Rico are more likely to
experience winds of 45-55 MPH with gusts over 65 MPH. Rainfall
accumulations between 4 and 8 inches possible from Wednesday
Morning thru Thursday Night.
Irma is expected to remain a dangerous major hurricane through
the upcoming week and could directly affect the U.S. Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico. Residents should monitor the progress
of Irma and listen to advice given by officials. Tropical storm
or hurricane watches could be issued for the U.S. Virgin Islands
and Puerto Rico tomorrow.
Based on the latest forecast from the NHC, the northern USVI,
Culebra and the eastern half of Puerto Rico are more likely to
experience winds of 45-55 MPH with gusts over 65 MPH. Rainfall
accumulations between 4 and 8 inches possible from Wednesday
Morning thru Thursday Night.
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Vía Twitter CycloforumsPR
El primer pase del avion por el ojo encuentra que esta un poco al sur (17.4N) de lo que boletin tenia (17.6N)
Presion mas baja (961 mbs)
El primer pase del avion por el ojo encuentra que esta un poco al sur (17.4N) de lo que boletin tenia (17.6N)
Presion mas baja (961 mbs)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Así es compañeros por eso aún no podiamos saber a ciencia cierta que iba hacer el sistema , hasta q el caza fuera a investigar y al parecer está retomando fuertemente su ruta WSW
Last edited by Javier on Sun Sep 03, 2017 7:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
WOW!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Ese movimiento parece un 260 se ve muy peligroso espero sea temporero ya que ese movimiento toda la noche o más sería fatal.
Comentario de aficionado.
Comentario de aficionado.
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Tienen link del último movimiento ya que leo en las redes varias páginas dedicadas al tiempo y unas dicen movimiento marcado al wsw otras que está más al norte y con el movimiento al oeste pero en otra ponen que caza consiguió El Centro más abajo de lo que se había estimado. La realidad que el que solo lea se confunde y esto es una situación seria.
Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3
Conseguí un app hurricane track y realmente bien el satellite es el movimiento más definido wsw que he visto de el sistema. Me corrigen los compañeros si ven lo mismo.