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CarlosP
Tormenta Tropical
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Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:47 pm

Re: INVEST 91L al SO de Cabo Verde: 10%-40%

Post by CarlosP »

boleco wrote: ↑Mon Aug 14, 2017 7:31 am expliquemen esto
Cyclone Tracker‏ @CycloneTracker 1 hHace 1 hora
Más
#91L development chances have not increased, still at 50%, however, I'm monitoring another tropical wave that has 10% chance next 5.
Image
Son dos ondas distintas, ambas con potencial.
Siempre recuerden esto:

Los sistemas tropicales no se mueven en linea recta, se mueven es "zig-zag", o oscilaciones. Es normal que este a 290 grados y de momento vaya a 270 grados, esto hace un promedio de 280 grados, lo cual es Oeste-Noroeste. Es normal.
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StormWatch
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Location: Texas, USA

Re: INVEST 91L al SO de Cabo Verde: 10%-40%

Post by StormWatch »

boleco wrote: ↑Mon Aug 14, 2017 7:31 am expliquemen esto
Cyclone Tracker‏ @CycloneTracker 1 hHace 1 hora
Más
#91L development chances have not increased, still at 50%, however, I'm monitoring another tropical wave that has 10% chance next 5.
Image
Según ‪la página en Twitter de @CycloneTracker ‬se espera q salga otro sistema.
NO DEL NHC!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3741
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: INVEST 91L al SO de Cabo Verde: 10%-40%

Post by StormWatch »

Up 60%
Invest 91L

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad trough of
low pressure southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has increased
since last night. Environmental conditions are expected to be
generally conducive for development of this disturbance for the next
several days while it moves westward at about 15 mph over the
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3741
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: INVEST 91L al SO de Cabo Verde: 20%-60%

Post by StormWatch »

Boletín de las 8am
20% - 60% #Invest91L continúa mejorando....... :twisted:

Image
Last edited by StormWatch on Mon Aug 14, 2017 7:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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Cycloneye
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Posts: 490
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 9:53 pm

Re: INVEST 91L al SO de Cabo Verde: 20%-60%

Post by Cycloneye »

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad trough of
low pressure southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has increased
since last night. Environmental conditions are expected to be
generally conducive for development of this disturbance for the next
several days while it moves westward at about 15 mph over the
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Top
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3741
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: INVEST 91L al SO de Cabo Verde: 20%-60%

Post by StormWatch »

Esto mismo lo vi hace poco...

8am NHC update has initiation point west by about 10 degrees longitude. FWIW, this was best taken into account already by the ECMWF.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3741
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: INVEST 91L al SO de Cabo Verde: 20%-60%

Post by StormWatch »

06z Navgem

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3741
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: INVEST 91L al SO de Cabo Verde: 20%-60%

Post by StormWatch »

Hmmmmmmmmm :( :arrow: Hay mucha SAL en el Atlántico... :?
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3741
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: INVEST 91L al SO de Cabo Verde: 20%-60%

Post by StormWatch »

EUROPEO!
Azote!

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3741
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: INVEST 91L al SO de Cabo Verde: 20%-60%

Post by StormWatch »

Waoooo q cambio de posición.
Según el 12z Best Track el Invest 91L se encuentra en la 12.5 y 33.8 :ugeek:

AL, 91, 2017081412, , BEST, 0, 125N, 338W, 25, 1011, DB
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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