Tormenta Tropical Arthur

[Cycloneye]

Los modelos no están claros sobre un desarrollo. Habrá que esperar por más corridas.

[Cycloneye]

Los ecenarios siguen cambiando. Vean esto.

[Cycloneye]

Está aumentando la posibilidad de algo formarse cerca de Florida y fuera de la costa este de Estados Unidos.Veremos como sigue evolucionando esto en los proximos dias.

[Cycloneye]

No hay nada seguro en cuanto algo que se vaya a desarrollar en Depresión Tropical o Tormenta Subtropical o Tropical ya que los modelos no tienen nada notable en las ultimas dos corridas. Veremos en los proximos dias como sigue esto.

[Cycloneye]

El Modelo Europeo se une al GFS con lo del este de la costa este de Estados Unidos.



El UKMET tambien.

[Cycloneye]

Los modelos siguen mostrando un desarrollo desde el 15 de Mayo con algunos modelos más organizados que otros. El GFS es el mas que muestra un sistema tropical.

[Cycloneye]

El Europeo tuvo las más fuerte corrida.

[Cycloneye]

El Centro de Huracánes menciona esta area.

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 AM EDT Tue May 12 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
for subtropical development this weekend northeast of the Bahamas.

1. 1. An area of low pressure is expected to develop this weekend
a couple hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for this system to acquire some
subtropical characteristics as it moves northeastward through
Sunday. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system
will be issued by 9 PM EDT Tuesday, or earlier, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Latto

[Cycloneye]

Sube a 70%.

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
730 PM EDT Tue May 12 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
for subtropical development this weekend northeast of the Bahamas.

1. 1. A broad area of low pressure is expected to develop late this
week or early this weekend a couple of hundred miles north of
the Bahamas. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a subtropical depression or storm
is likely to form this weekend while it moves northeastward over
the western Atlantic. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on
this system will be issued by 9 AM EDT Wednesday, or earlier, if
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

[Cycloneye]

Se mantiene en 70% la probabilidad del area cerca de las Islas Bahamas para desarrollo a Depresión o Tormenta Subtropical para el fin de semana. No hay peligro para Puerto Rico ni para Hispañola.