ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
At 10:49pm September 17, 2016
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT SEP 17 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Julia, located a couple hundred miles southeast of the
coast of South Carolina, and on Tropical Storm Karl, located about
midway between Africa and the Leeward Islands.
1. Showers and thunderstorms have increased near a broad low pressure
area associated with a tropical wave located between Africa and the
Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form by the
early part of next week while this system moves westward to
west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. This
system is likely to bring heavy rain and gusty winds to portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
Forecaster Blake
Tormenta Tropical Lisa (Invest 96L)
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3721
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Disturbance 2 (Amarillo 20%/50%) en Africa
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3721
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Disturbance 2 (Amarillo 20%/50%) en Africa
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3721
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 96L (Naranja 40%/70%) en Africa
A broad area of low pressure located near the Cabo Verde Islands is
producing disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. Gradual
development of this system is likely, and a tropical depression
could form within the next few days before environmental conditions
become less conducive late this week. This system is expected to
move west-northwestward to northwestward over the eastern Atlantic
during the next several days. Regardless of development, locally
heavy rains and strong gusty winds are possible in the Cabo Verde
Islands during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
producing disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. Gradual
development of this system is likely, and a tropical depression
could form within the next few days before environmental conditions
become less conducive late this week. This system is expected to
move west-northwestward to northwestward over the eastern Atlantic
during the next several days. Regardless of development, locally
heavy rains and strong gusty winds are possible in the Cabo Verde
Islands during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Invest 96L al Sur de Cabo Verde (Rojo 50%/80%)
venga la otra que esta tampoco sirve!!!
Disclaimer: "Solo soy otro fan de la meteorolgia...para informacion mas precisa vaya a buscarla del NHC y del SNM.... No soy la voz oficial de comunicaciones de la AAA asi que pendiente a sus anuncios oficiales en los medios de comunicación de prensa escrita, radial, televisiva, redes socials, etc."
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3721
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Invest 96L al Sur de Cabo Verde (Rojo 50%/80%)
Heyyyyy!
NeeeeeeeeeeeeexxxT
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system
located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
continue to show signs of organization, and it appears that a
tropical depression could be forming. If this trend continues,
then advisories could be initiated on this system later today or
tonight. Occasional heavy rains and gusty winds associated with
this system should diminish later today over the Cabo Verde Islands
while the low moves westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
NeeeeeeeeeeeeexxxT
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system
located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
continue to show signs of organization, and it appears that a
tropical depression could be forming. If this trend continues,
then advisories could be initiated on this system later today or
tonight. Occasional heavy rains and gusty winds associated with
this system should diminish later today over the Cabo Verde Islands
while the low moves westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]