Huracán María
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WeatherfanPR
- Onda Tropical
- Posts: 66
- Joined: Wed Aug 07, 2013 1:32 am
Re: Huracán María
Saludos a todos. Todos estan en mis oraciones. Le pido a Dios que los cuide a ustedes en Puerto Rico, sus familias y a todos los que están siendo afectados en estos momentos y a los que van a ser afectados mas adelante en República Dominicana y otras Islas del Caribe. Estoy siendo testigo de algo que nunca me imaginé ver. Ahora vivo en el Area de Tampa Bay, Florida pero mi corazón está bien apretado por la catástrofe que según los pronósticos podría ocurrir en la tierra que me vió nacer y que ninguno de nosotros ha experimentado. Tengo Fe en Dios y le pido que podamos ser testigos de muchos Milagros en medio de esta situación. Al mismo tiempo le pido a Dios que si ocurriera el peor de los escenarios, que EL le brinde a todos los afectados toda la fortaleza que necesitan y puedan recibir la ayuda que necesiten para poder levantarse y seguir adelante. Un fuerte abrazo de un Boricua en la diáspora. Hasta luego y que Dios los cuide!
Re: Huracán María
Así es como lo veo desde temprano en la mañana.
Como saben esos europeos!
Lo único...no veo porque sale por Aguadilla...según yo, debería salír por San Juan...aunque ultimadamente...a quien le importa por donde salga...la idea es que el ojo no entre...yyyyyy...se nos está hacieeeendo tarde¡_
Que cosa ah?
Re: Huracán María
EYE OF CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE MARIA MOVING OVER DOMINICA...
11:00 PM AST Mon Sep 18
Location: 15.5°N 61.4°W
Moving: WNW at 9 mph
Min pressure: 924 mb
Max sustained: 160 mph
11:00 PM AST Mon Sep 18
Location: 15.5°N 61.4°W
Moving: WNW at 9 mph
Min pressure: 924 mb
Max sustained: 160 mph
Re: Huracán María
ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Hurricane Maria Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
1100 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017
The Air Force Hurricane Hunters were able to fly a single pass
from northwest to southeast through the eye of Maria just prior to
0000 UTC. The aircraft found a peak SFMR wind of 139 kt in the
northwest eyewall, i.e. category 5 intensity. Raw objective
T-numbers from UW/CIMSS reached as high as T7.3 just before the
center moved over land. Based on these data, the initial wind speed
was increased to 140 kt on the earlier special advisory, and that
intensity is maintained for this advisory, although some slight
weakening may have occurred as the small core of the hurricane
passed over Dominica. Since the center has moved over land, the
aircraft has not been able to make a second pass through the eye.
The aircraft will be in the storm a few more hours and should be
able to provide additional center fixes once the eye moves west of
Dominica.
Maria is forecast to remain within an environment of low wind shear
and over warm water during the next couple of days. Given these
favorable atmospheric and oceanic conditions, Maria is expected to
remain a Category 4 or 5 hurricane when it approaches the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico, however some fluctuations in intensity are
possible due during the next 24 to 36 h due to eyewall cycles. Land
interaction and a slight increase in shear are likely to cause some
gradual weakening after Maria moves over the southwestern Atlantic
in 3 to 4 days.
Maria is moving west-northwestward or 300/8 kt. A weak ridge
located over the western Atlantic is expected to steer the
hurricane west-northwestward through 48 hours, and on this track the
center of Maria is forecast to pass near or over the Virgin Islands
and Puerto Rico on Wednesday. After that time, the western portion
of the ridge is forecast to weaken, which should allow Maria to turn
northwestward, then north-northwestward by day 5. The track
guidance is in good agreement and little change was required to the
NHC track forecast through 72 hours. At days 4 and 5, the global
model envelope has shifted slightly eastward and the NHC forecast
was adjusted accordingly to be in better agreement with the HFIP
correct consensus and ECMWF model.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. Maria will affect portions of the Leeward Islands and the British
and U.S. Virgin Islands as an extremely dangerous major hurricane
during the next couple of days, and hurricane warnings are in effect
for many of these islands.
2. Maria is likely to affect Puerto Rico as an extremely dangerous
major hurricane, and a hurricane warning is in effect for that
island. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed
to completion.
3. The potential for a life-threatening storm surge, accompanied by
large and destructive waves, has increased for the Leeward Islands,
the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.
4. Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides from heavy rainfall
are expected across the Leeward Islands, including Puerto Rico and
the U.S. and British Virgin Islands.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 19/0300Z 15.5N 61.4W 140 KT 160 MPH
12H 19/1200Z 16.1N 62.6W 140 KT 160 MPH
24H 20/0000Z 17.0N 64.0W 140 KT 160 MPH
36H 20/1200Z 17.9N 65.4W 135 KT 155 MPH
48H 21/0000Z 18.7N 66.9W 125 KT 145 MPH
72H 22/0000Z 20.5N 69.6W 120 KT 140 MPH
96H 23/0000Z 22.8N 71.5W 110 KT 125 MPH
120H 24/0000Z 25.5N 72.5W 100 KT 115 MPH
$$
Forecaster Brown
NNNN
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Hurricane Maria Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
1100 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017
The Air Force Hurricane Hunters were able to fly a single pass
from northwest to southeast through the eye of Maria just prior to
0000 UTC. The aircraft found a peak SFMR wind of 139 kt in the
northwest eyewall, i.e. category 5 intensity. Raw objective
T-numbers from UW/CIMSS reached as high as T7.3 just before the
center moved over land. Based on these data, the initial wind speed
was increased to 140 kt on the earlier special advisory, and that
intensity is maintained for this advisory, although some slight
weakening may have occurred as the small core of the hurricane
passed over Dominica. Since the center has moved over land, the
aircraft has not been able to make a second pass through the eye.
The aircraft will be in the storm a few more hours and should be
able to provide additional center fixes once the eye moves west of
Dominica.
Maria is forecast to remain within an environment of low wind shear
and over warm water during the next couple of days. Given these
favorable atmospheric and oceanic conditions, Maria is expected to
remain a Category 4 or 5 hurricane when it approaches the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico, however some fluctuations in intensity are
possible due during the next 24 to 36 h due to eyewall cycles. Land
interaction and a slight increase in shear are likely to cause some
gradual weakening after Maria moves over the southwestern Atlantic
in 3 to 4 days.
Maria is moving west-northwestward or 300/8 kt. A weak ridge
located over the western Atlantic is expected to steer the
hurricane west-northwestward through 48 hours, and on this track the
center of Maria is forecast to pass near or over the Virgin Islands
and Puerto Rico on Wednesday. After that time, the western portion
of the ridge is forecast to weaken, which should allow Maria to turn
northwestward, then north-northwestward by day 5. The track
guidance is in good agreement and little change was required to the
NHC track forecast through 72 hours. At days 4 and 5, the global
model envelope has shifted slightly eastward and the NHC forecast
was adjusted accordingly to be in better agreement with the HFIP
correct consensus and ECMWF model.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. Maria will affect portions of the Leeward Islands and the British
and U.S. Virgin Islands as an extremely dangerous major hurricane
during the next couple of days, and hurricane warnings are in effect
for many of these islands.
2. Maria is likely to affect Puerto Rico as an extremely dangerous
major hurricane, and a hurricane warning is in effect for that
island. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed
to completion.
3. The potential for a life-threatening storm surge, accompanied by
large and destructive waves, has increased for the Leeward Islands,
the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.
4. Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides from heavy rainfall
are expected across the Leeward Islands, including Puerto Rico and
the U.S. and British Virgin Islands.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 19/0300Z 15.5N 61.4W 140 KT 160 MPH
12H 19/1200Z 16.1N 62.6W 140 KT 160 MPH
24H 20/0000Z 17.0N 64.0W 140 KT 160 MPH
36H 20/1200Z 17.9N 65.4W 135 KT 155 MPH
48H 21/0000Z 18.7N 66.9W 125 KT 145 MPH
72H 22/0000Z 20.5N 69.6W 120 KT 140 MPH
96H 23/0000Z 22.8N 71.5W 110 KT 125 MPH
120H 24/0000Z 25.5N 72.5W 100 KT 115 MPH
$$
Forecaster Brown
NNNN
Re: Huracán María
Ada mencionando los zig zags. Son determinantes en donde termine entrando el ojo. A ver...
Siempre recuerden esto:
Los sistemas tropicales no se mueven en linea recta, se mueven es "zig-zag", o oscilaciones. Es normal que este a 290 grados y de momento vaya a 270 grados, esto hace un promedio de 280 grados, lo cual es Oeste-Noroeste. Es normal.
Los sistemas tropicales no se mueven en linea recta, se mueven es "zig-zag", o oscilaciones. Es normal que este a 290 grados y de momento vaya a 270 grados, esto hace un promedio de 280 grados, lo cual es Oeste-Noroeste. Es normal.
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Hortense69
- Invest
- Posts: 153
- Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 11:52 pm
Re: Huracán María
Carlos P... la tendencia es al este nuestro.... No se, pero parece q Maria se bautiza sebautiza Virginal! Digo si sigue con la nueva proyeccion..... Virgin Island again..
[i]El mejor pronóstico.... Las Horas...
[/i]
Mi opinión es de aficionada miramapas. Para información oficial favor dirigirse a: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
[/i]
Mi opinión es de aficionada miramapas. Para información oficial favor dirigirse a: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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Candy Perez Vazquez
- Onda Tropical
- Posts: 44
- Joined: Sun Sep 03, 2017 9:02 pm
Re: Huracán María
me puse a buscar las coordenadas en un mapa de huracanes y wowww, casi lloro por los recuerdos de los tiempos cuando solo teniamos un mapa y un lapiz y dividiamos la distancia por la velocidad para saber y asi tener una idea de cuantas horas y luego el resultado por 24 para saber en cuantos dias llegaba a nuestra zona...buenos tiempos aquellos, teniamos que esperar al siguiente boletin para hacer nuestros calculos
Re: Huracán María
Ese movimiento de María en Dominica puede ser crucial parecía que entraba al Caribe por la parte sur de la isla y la bordea de sur a norte como a 300 grados la hizo canto. , si esos zig zag no son más al oeste pudiera pasar al noreste de la isla. Veremos
, si esos zig zag no son más al oeste pudiera pasar al noreste de la isla. Veremos-
Hortense69
- Invest
- Posts: 153
- Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 11:52 pm
Re: Huracán María
Ese boletin de las 11 mando a dormir a muchos....
[i]El mejor pronóstico.... Las Horas...
[/i]
Mi opinión es de aficionada miramapas. Para información oficial favor dirigirse a: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
[/i]
Mi opinión es de aficionada miramapas. Para información oficial favor dirigirse a: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Re: Huracán María
Realmente ya me tienen algo confundido. Que si el jog al norte que si el jog al oeste, que si pasa al sur de dominica que si pasa al norte de dominica. Realmente ya no sé ni dónde estoy
Las vaguadas no somos tan malas como algunos creen 