![Image](http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017060612/gfs_z850_vort_atltropics_51.png)
Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017
Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017
Tomaré prestado el término lowlowlandia del amigo Villafañe, para indicar lo que muestra el GFS 12z.
![Image](http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017060612/gfs_z850_vort_atltropics_51.png)
![Image](http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017060612/gfs_z850_vort_atltropics_51.png)
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
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- Onda Tropical
- Posts: 82
- Joined: Wed Aug 21, 2013 2:30 pm
Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017
Bueno, dos días después seguimos viendo esta sorpresita justo al sur de la Isla. Ya veremos en una semana.
![Image](http://i66.tinypic.com/vemd07.png)
![Image](http://i66.tinypic.com/vemd07.png)
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- Depresión Tropical
- Posts: 451
- Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am
Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017
GFS 12z del 6-21-17 muestra a largo plazo un sistema saliendo de Africa para el 4 de Julio y llegando al centro del Atlantico para el dia 7 como Tormenta.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... s=0&ypos=0
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... s=0&ypos=0
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- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3721
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017
El UKMET le tiene el ojo a un nuevo sistema! Ojooooo
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 11.1N 34.3W
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 11.1N 34.3W
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3721
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017
BOOOMMMMMMM
![Image](https://s1.postimg.org/mut1v13f3/gem_mslpa_Norm_atltropics_21.png)
![Image](https://s1.postimg.org/mut1v13f3/gem_mslpa_Norm_atltropics_21.png)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3721
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017
Algo se está cocinando!
![Image](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DFnhVmIXoAEOe6t?format=jpg&name=large)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Depresión Tropical
- Posts: 451
- Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am
Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017
ECMWF y CMC Ppronostican situaciones parecidas para la proxima semana pero con horas de diferencia :
12Z 8-10-17 :
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... =0&ypos=88
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 012&fh=240
12Z 8-10-17 :
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... =0&ypos=88
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 012&fh=240
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3721
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017
Modelos y modelos, esto mismo dijeron del Invest 99L
Para el sábado 19 de Agosto!
![Image](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DG_wKgtXgAAVIaC.jpg:large)
Para el sábado 19 de Agosto!
![Image](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DG_wKgtXgAAVIaC.jpg:large)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3721
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017
Acción próxima semanaaaaa
![Image](http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/ghazards/images/gth_full_update.png)
![Image](http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/ghazards/images/gth_full_update.png)
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3721
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Pronostico de los modelos para temporada 2017
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]