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Huracán Matthew

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StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

Via Twitter:
11:15z #97L has 50mph, 1007.3mb
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

Via twitter:

11:25z #97L max surface winds: 45mph, max flight winds: 55mph, lowest pressure: 1006.4mb
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
drc25
Onda Tropical
Onda Tropical
Posts: 34
Joined: Fri Aug 28, 2015 6:53 am

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%

Post by drc25 »

Saludos compañeros,

No suelo comentar mucho pero siempre me mantengo informado con ustedes de todos los eventos atmosféricos.

Ya descartando por completo el impacto directo de la 97l o futuro Matthew,
¿Cuales serian los efectos de en nuestra zona de esta onda o futura tormenta ?
“¿Sabes porque el mar es tan grande, tan manso y tan poderoso? Porque teniendo la humildad de colocarse unos centímetros por debajo de todos los ríos, descubrió que podía ser grande aprendiendo a recibir”
Patricia Hashuel
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

Via Twitter:

11:35z #97L no change yet, plane over Barbados
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

Via Twitter:

11:45z #97L AFR plane heading E now after Barbados, expecting closed circulation in 30mins or so.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
hurrizonepr
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
Posts: 451
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%

Post by hurrizonepr »

Luego de encontrar vientos de tormenta cerca de la 15 norte y la presion mas baja hasta ahora(1006 aprox), el caza viajando hacia el sur no ha encontrado vientos mas fuertes y la presion barometrica va en aumento. Dado esto el centro de circulacion debe estar mas al norte de lo estimado por satelite hasta ahora. Para ver la data del caza ,aqui un link "real time":
http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon ... _page=hdob
edgardo
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
Posts: 358
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 8:01 am

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%

Post by edgardo »

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate
that the strong tropical wave located near Barbados is producing
winds of 40 to 45 mph. Regardless of whether or not the system
becomes a tropical storm before it moves through the Lesser
Antilles, tropical-storm-force winds and heavy rains will spread
across Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, and St. Lucia today.
Satellite and surface observations suggest that the circulation
associated with the system has become better defined, and the
reconnaissance aircraft is beginning its mission to determine if a
tropical storm has formed. The system is moving westward to
west-northwestward at around 15 mph, and is expected to pass over
the Lesser Antilles later today, and move over the southeastern
Caribbean Sea tonight and Thursday.

Interests in the Windward and southern Leeward Islands should
consult products issued by your national meteorological service,
including possible tropical storm warnings or watches. Interests
in Bonaire, Curacao, Aruba, and along the northern coast of South
America should also monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms along the coast of the
western Gulf of Mexico are associated with a weak low pressure
area near Tampico, Mexico. This low is forecast to move inland
later today or tonight and significant development of this system
is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown
emh- huracan es simplemente ahora Edgardo. Importante: Phil Klotzbach, recordó que "el mejor momento para prepararse para los huracanes es cuando todavía no hay huracanes".
hurrizonepr
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
Posts: 451
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%

Post by hurrizonepr »

Extracto del TWO 8am:
"tropical-storm-force winds and heavy rains will spread
across Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, and St. Lucia today."
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

Via Twitter:

11:55z #97L plane heading S again.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 97L al Este de las Antillas Menores 90%-90%

Post by StormWatch »

IMPORTANT!

Ahora veremos si o NOOOOOOOO

Via twitter:
NHC Atlantic Ops ‏@NHC_Atlantic
USAF plane reports strong tropical wave #97L producing 40-45 mph winds. Mission now beginning to determine if a tropical storm has formed
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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