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Tormenta Hermine (Invest 99L)

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StormWatch
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Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 50%-70%

Post by StormWatch »

O quizás sea la Depresion Tropical #Eight
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 50%-70%

Post by StormWatch »

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Satellite images, surface observations, and radar data from the
Lesser Antilles indicate that a broad area of low pressure
associated with a tropical wave is located near Guadeloupe.
Although environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for
development, this system could become a tropical depression during
the next day or two
while it moves west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph
across the Leeward Islands and the Greater Antilles. Conditions
could become more conducive later this week while the system moves
near the southeastern and central Bahamas. An Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this
disturbance later today, if necessary. Interests from the islands
of the northeastern Caribbean Sea to the Bahamas should continue to
monitor the progress of this system. Gusty winds, heavy rains, and
possible flash floods and mudslides could occur over portions of
these areas regardless of tropical cyclone formation. Please consult
products issued by your local meteorological offices for further
details.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Forecaster Stewart
Last edited by StormWatch on Wed Aug 24, 2016 1:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
User avatar
ROCKstormSJ4315
Tormenta Tropical
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Posts: 888
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:09 pm
Location: Hato Rey, San Juan, PR

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 50%-70%

Post by ROCKstormSJ4315 »

huracan sur wrote:Saludos muchachos por aqui presente como de costumbre pendiente al kiosko a estas horas como tambien Rock",

Mirando ambas imagenes tanto shortwave como el radar de martinica, se ve una consolidacion del posible LLC dominante, ya no se ve claramente ese aparente MLC que habia temprano en la noche cerca a la 15.8n y tampoco otro que habia cerca a la 17.2n
Se ve una consolidacion justo o sobre el NNE de Guadalupe, atentos.
Mi opinion muy personal no veo mucho cambio en el proximo TWO que esta por ahi ya, y nuestro 99L todavia tiene el chance de lograrlo, pero si no, ya estamos "curaos de espanto" de los " casi ciclones" a nuestra puerta :mrgreen:
Saludos huracan sur:

Aqui en efecto pendiente mientras trabajo en una presentacion en mi trabajo durante el dia. Y claro esperando el TWO.

No he escrito mucho de lo que veo porque en realidad no ha cambiado mi percepcion de lo ya "posteado", pero si esperando ver si ese TWO cambia los %.
"Georgy Girl", The Seekers
"Back for Good", Take That
"Perfectionist", SAGA
"Graves Into Gardens", Elevation Worship ft. Brandon Lake
"Thunder", Imagine Dragons
"Viva la Vida", Coldplay
huracan_1975
Tormenta Tropical
Tormenta Tropical
Posts: 630
Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 50%-70%

Post by huracan_1975 »

datos de la boya al norte de Guadalupe....

Conditions at BARA9 as of
(2:00 am ADT)
0500 GMT on 08/24/2016:
Unit of Measure: Time Zone: Select
Click on the graph icon in the table below to see a time series plot of the last five days of that observation.

5-day plot - Wind Direction Wind Direction (WDIR): ESE ( 110 deg true )
5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 13.0 kts
5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 17.1 kts
5-day plot - Atmospheric Pressure Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.81 in
5-day plot - Pressure Tendency Pressure Tendency (PTDY): -0.05 in ( Falling )
5-day plot - Air Temperature Air Temperature (ATMP): 77.5 °F

5-day plot - Wind Speed at 10 Meters Wind Speed at 10 meters (WSPD10M): 13.6 kts
5-day plot - Wind Speed at 10 Meters Wind Speed at 20 meters (WSPD20M): 13.6 kts
5-day plot - Wind Speed, Wind Gust and Atmospheric Pressure Combined plot of Wind Speed, Gust, and Air Pressure
NOS Water Level Observation Network Water Level
StormWatch
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Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 50%-70%

Post by StormWatch »

Mas cerca de PR!

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
huracan_1975
Tormenta Tropical
Tormenta Tropical
Posts: 630
Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 50%-70%

Post by huracan_1975 »

las presiones siguen bajando tanto en sant croix y demás isla la norte como las isla virgenes americanas .
StormWatch
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Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 50%-70%

Post by StormWatch »

Este boletín de las 2am fue un copy paste del q dio Forecaster Stewart a las 8pm
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3755
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 50%-70%

Post by StormWatch »

huracan_1975 wrote:las presiones siguen bajando tanto en sant croix y demás isla la norte como las isla virgenes americanas .
Interesante!
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
huracan_1975
Tormenta Tropical
Tormenta Tropical
Posts: 630
Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 9:59 am

Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 50%-70%

Post by huracan_1975 »

el sistema ya esta entrando al mar caribe...... en radar de Guadalupe se nota claro
categoria5
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Re: Invest 99L al Este de Antillas Menores 50%-70%

Post by categoria5 »

:geek: :geek: :geek: :geek: SE ESTA PONIENDO BUENA LA COSA :geek: :geek: :geek: :geek: :geek:
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