CycloForums - Huracanes y Meteorología

Hurakn wrote: ↑Sat Aug 22, 2020 1:30 pm Mi estacion marca 1013mb y en aumento.
Cuando paso el centro que indica el NHC la presion bajo hasta 1008mb.

Excelente dato. Gracias Hurakn.

CRASH wrote: ↑Sat Aug 22, 2020 1:29 pm Los maestros del foro estan haciendo distanciamiento social!!! No esta alineado verticalmente. El llc esta al West y el MLC esta al Este Para mis ojos, el MLC se ve mucho mas dominante en el radar y en el satelite por el momento.

Le tiraron una soga desde Salinas:D ..... Creo que Laurita va a entrar a la isla

La veo entrando por Santa Isabel o Salinas

Laura no esta verticalmente alineada, o sea su centro principal en la superficie (LLC) esta al oeste y su centro a niveles intermedios (MLC) esta mas al este. Eu un sistema bien organizado, ambos centros estan verticalmente alineados.

Ese MLC pareciera ser el dominante ahora mismo, y esta a punto de entrar entrar por el area de Salinas. Del este de Salina hacia Humacao, subiendo viene lo bueno ahora.

Se fortalece y se han registrado ráfagas de 71 mph:
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Laura Intermediate Advisory Number 11A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
200 PM AST Sat Aug 22 2020

...LAURA STRENGTHENS NEAR PUERTO RICO...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 67.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SW OF PONCE PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Rico, Vieques and Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* The northern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to
the border with Haiti
* The southern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to
Punta Palenque
* The northern coast of Haiti from Le Mole St. Nicholas to the
border with the Dominican Republic
* The southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The central Bahamas
* Cuban provinces of Las Tunas, Holguin, Guantanamo, Santiago de
Cuba, and Granma

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in Cuba and in the Florida Keys should monitor
the progress of Laura. Tropical storm warnings and additional
watches will likely be issued for portions of central and eastern
Cuba later today and tropical storm watches may be needed for the
Florida Keys later today.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Laura was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 67.5 West. Laura is
moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h), and a generally
west-northwestward motion is expected over the next few days. On
the forecast track, the center of Laura will move away from Puerto
Rico this afternoon, near or over Hispaniola this afternoon and
tonight, and near or over eastern Cuba Sunday and Sunday night.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. A Weatherflow observing site at Las Mareas, on
the south coast of Puerto Rico, reported sustained winds of 60 mph
(96 km/h) with a gust to 71 mph (115 km/h), but these winds appear
to be associated with a small-scale circulation and are not
representative of the larger-scale wind field. Some additional
strengthening is possible until the center moves over Hispaniola
tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

Obi-Wan wrote: ↑Sat Aug 22, 2020 1:56 pm

Laura no esta verticalmente alineada, o sea su centro principal en la superficie (LLC) esta al oeste y su centro a niveles intermedios (MLC) esta mas al este. Eu un sistema bien organizado, ambos centros estan verticalmente alineados.

Ese MLC pareciera ser el dominante ahora mismo, y esta a punto de entrar entrar por el area de Salinas. Del este de Salina hacia Humacao, subiendo viene lo bueno ahora.

Obi Wan ese LLC o circulacion en los niveles bajos de la atmosfera lo veo ahi desde hace rato... parece como si metiera el freno, regularmente en situaciones que van frenando es como para ir buscando el norte... no se si sera este el caso

Pues a ese LLC le metieron el freno pq lleva ratoooo ratooo en el mismo lugar

Como dicen aquí, el LLC se aguantó. Puede ser que el MLC que vemos en el radar sea el que se imponga. Por lo menos en este momento así parece.

Y el caza huracanes??? Bien, gracias

El MLC se esta viendo dominante