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Depression Tropical Josephine

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hurrizonepr
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Posts: 451
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am

Re: Tormenta Tropical Josephine

Post by hurrizonepr »

11am:
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
1100 AM AST Fri Aug 14 2020

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE JOSEPHINE
THIS AFTERNOON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 54.7W
ABOUT 575 MI...920 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine
was located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 54.7 West. Josephine
is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days
followed by a turn toward the northwest late this weekend or early
next week. On the forecast track, the center of Josephine is
expected to pass to the northeast of the Leeward Islands over the
weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours. After that
time, Josephine is expected to encounter upper-level winds that will
not be conducive for strengthening. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate Josephine this
afternoon.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
mainly to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Josephine is expected to cause storm-total rainfalls of
1 to 3 inches over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven
hurrizonepr
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Depresión Tropical
Posts: 451
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am

Re: Tormenta Tropical Josephine

Post by hurrizonepr »

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
500 PM AST Fri Aug 14 2020

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS CENTER OF JOSEPHINE A LITTLE
FARTHER TO THE NORTH...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 56.1W
ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine was
located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 56.1 West. Josephine is
moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days
followed by a turn toward the northwest late this weekend or early
next week. On the forecast track, the center of Josephine is
expected to pass to the northeast of the Leeward Islands over the
weekend.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is possible tonight.
After that, Josephine is expected to weaken over the weekend as it
encounters unfavorable upper-level winds.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
mainly to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Josephine is expected to cause storm-total rainfall of
1 to 3 inches over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Isolated minor flooding is
possible in Puerto Rico through Monday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven
User avatar
Joe Man
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Posts: 327
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 5:32 pm

Re: Tormenta Tropical Josephine

Post by Joe Man »

I believe that a Next is in order....Next!
Disclaimer: "Solo soy otro fan de la meteorolgia...para informacion mas precisa vaya a buscarla del NHC y del SNM.... No soy la voz oficial de comunicaciones de la AAA asi que pendiente a sus anuncios oficiales en los medios de comunicación de prensa escrita, radial, televisiva, redes socials, etc."
hurrizonepr
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Depresión Tropical
Posts: 451
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am

Re: Tormenta Tropical Josephine

Post by hurrizonepr »

11am:

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
1100 AM AST Sat Aug 15 2020

...CENTER OF JOSEPHINE PASSING TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 60.2W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine
was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 60.2 West. Josephine
is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next day or two
followed by a turn toward the northwest early next week. On the
forecast track, the center of Josephine is expected to pass to the
northeast of the Leeward Islands today and tonight.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through
today. After that, Josephine is expected to weaken as it
encounters unfavorable upper-level winds.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
to the north of the center.

The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter
aircraft data is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Josephine is expected to cause storm-total rainfall of
1 to 3 inches over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Isolated minor flooding is
possible in Puerto Rico through Monday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven
hurrizonepr
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Depresión Tropical
Posts: 451
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am

Re: Tormenta Tropical Josephine

Post by hurrizonepr »

5pm:
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
500 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2020

...CENTER OF JOSEPHINE CONTINUING TO PASS NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 61.6W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine was
located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 61.6 West. Josephine is
moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next day or two,
followed by a turn toward the northwest and north early next week.
On the forecast track, the center of Josephine is expected to pass
to the northeast and north of the Leeward Islands today through
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Josephine is now in an area of unfavorable upper-level winds, and
weakening is expected during the next couple of days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Josephine is expected to cause storm-total rainfall of
1 to 3 inches over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Isolated minor flooding is
possible in Puerto Rico through Monday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Tormenta Tropical Josephine

Post by StormWatch »

Pq esa cara Josephine?

Pa’ onde’ tu .... :mrgreen:

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
hurrizonepr
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
Posts: 451
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am

Re: Depression Tropical Josephine

Post by hurrizonepr »

11am se degrada a depresión:

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Josephine Advisory Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
1100 AM AST Sun Aug 16 2020

...JOSEPHINE CONTINUES TO LOSE ORGANIZATION AS IT PASSES TO THE
NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.4N 65.0W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NW OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Josephine was located near latitude 20.4 North, longitude 65.0 West.
The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20
km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. A
turn toward the northwest is expected by tonight, with Josephine or
its remnants forecast to slow down and recurve toward the north and
northeast on Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the
next 48 hours, and Josephine is expected to become a remnant low or
dissipate by Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown
hurrizonepr
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
Posts: 451
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am

Re: Depression Tropical Josephine

Post by hurrizonepr »

Último aviso( degradado a onda)

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Josephine Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
500 PM AST Sun Aug 16 2020

...JOSEPHINE DEGENERATES INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 65.8W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM NW OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM N OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the remnants of Josephine were located
near latitude 20.9 North, longitude 65.8 West. The remnants are
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a
toward the northwest is expected tonight. The remnants are
forecast to recurve toward the north and northeast Tuesday and
Tuesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. The maximum winds associated with the remnants are forecast
to continue to decrease over the next day or two.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Brown
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