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Modelos desarrollan

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StormWatch
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Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Modelos desarrollan

Post by StormWatch »

Modelo Euro desarrolla posible área de mal tiempo en 240 horas.


Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Modelos desarrollan

Post by StormWatch »

Via Twitter
@MJVentrice

With a strong convectively coupled Kelvin wave passing, it's time to keep an eye on the Atlantic's Main Development Region. Calibrated ECMWF EPS indicates a 20-30% chance for genesis in the coming week.

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
cicloncuba
Invest
Invest
Posts: 183
Joined: Thu May 02, 2019 2:50 pm

Re: Modelos desarrollan

Post by cicloncuba »

Amigos al fin despertó el foro. El atlántico se está activando. Tenemos q estar activos nosotros. El trópico esta muy interesante cerca de África.
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Modelos desarrollan

Post by StormWatch »

El nuevo modelo de proyección GFS Legacy muestra desarrollo en 96 horas. Stay TUNE!

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Modelos desarrollan

Post by StormWatch »

BOMMMMM!
Hit Puerto Rico 00z :shock:

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Arlequín
Cat. 1
Cat. 1
Posts: 1147
Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Modelos desarrollan

Post by Arlequín »

Gracias por abrir este topico StormWatch
Los ensamblajes del EURO muestran al sistema en direccion al noreste del caribe bastante cerca...
Image

Ademas hay una fuerte onda kelvin que esta sobre el atlantico la cual debe activar la conveccion durante varios dias.. a ver si la puede aprovechar
Image
Arlequín
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Cat. 1
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Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Modelos desarrollan

Post by Arlequín »

El modelo HWRF muestra desarrollo en este sistema que sale de Africa
Image
Image

Se ve bastante bien esa onda tropical
Image

El EURO muestra un sistema decente entrando al caribe
Image
Image
Arlequín
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Cat. 1
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Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Modelos desarrollan

Post by Arlequín »

Tremendo el EURO en esta corrida
Image
StormWatch
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Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Modelos desarrollan

Post by StormWatch »

WOWWWW!
Arlequín wrote: Sun Jul 28, 2019 2:50 pm Tremendo el EURO en esta corrida
Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Obi-Wan
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 433
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 7:22 pm

Re: Modelos desarrollan

Post by Obi-Wan »

Cuando la pinten de amarillo en los próximos días con ese cono apuntando hacia nosotros se activa el foro. :D
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