Tormenta Subtropical Alberto.
Re: Tormenta Subtropical Alberto.
000
WTNT41 KNHC 272039
TCDAT1
Subtropical Storm Alberto Discussion Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012018
400 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018
After the increase in organization overnight and this morning, dry
mid-level air has wrapped about three-quarters of the way around
the circulation, resulting in an overall decrease in deep
convection in all but the southeastern portion of the circulation.
Earlier ASCAT and reconnaissance aircraft data supported an initial
wind speed of 45 kt, and that intensity will be maintained for this
advisory. Another reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the system this evening.
The main question regarding the future intensity of Alberto is
whether or not the dry air will continue to be ingested near the
center of the cyclone, or whether deep convection is able to
regenerate overnight while the system is over marginally warm
SSTs and within a low shear environment. It is assumed that some
convection will redevelop to help maintain Alberto's intensity, but
that the environment will not be favorable enough to allow for
significant strengthening. As a result, little change in intensity
is forecast before Alberto reaches the northern Gulf Coast on
Monday.
Alberto appears to have turned north-northwestward with an initial
motion estimate of 345/12 kt. The cyclone should move northwestward
to north-northwestward tonight before turning back northward on
Monday as it becomes vertically aligned with the upper-level low.
After that time, the system should continue moving northward between
the western Atlantic ridge and a mid-upper level trough that
approaches the central U.S. around mid-week. The dynamical models
are in much better agreement on Alberto's track during the next 2 to
3 days, and the NHC track has been been adjusted accordingly. The
new track is slightly west of and slower than the previous track
during the first 24 to 36 hours.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. The risk of flooding and flash flooding over western Cuba, the
Florida Keys, and south Florida will continue through Monday. Heavy
rain and the risk of flooding will begin across the Florida
Panhandle tonight, then spread northward from the Florida Panhandle
into much of Alabama, western Georgia, and Tennessee through
Tuesday.
2. A hazardous storm surge is possible along portions of the
eastern Gulf Coast tonight and tomorrow, including areas well east
of the track of Alberto's center. Residents in the storm surge
watch area are encouraged to follow guidance given by their local
government officials.
3. Tropical storm conditions are likely within portions of the
tropical storm warning area tonight and tomorrow.
4. Dangerous surf and rip current conditions will continue to
affect portions of the eastern and northern Gulf Coast through
Monday.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 27/2100Z 28.0N 85.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 28/0600Z 29.1N 85.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...TROPICAL STORM
24H 28/1800Z 30.4N 86.2W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
36H 29/0600Z 32.2N 86.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 29/1800Z 34.7N 87.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
72H 30/1800Z 39.7N 86.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 31/1800Z 45.1N 83.1W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Brown
WTNT41 KNHC 272039
TCDAT1
Subtropical Storm Alberto Discussion Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012018
400 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018
After the increase in organization overnight and this morning, dry
mid-level air has wrapped about three-quarters of the way around
the circulation, resulting in an overall decrease in deep
convection in all but the southeastern portion of the circulation.
Earlier ASCAT and reconnaissance aircraft data supported an initial
wind speed of 45 kt, and that intensity will be maintained for this
advisory. Another reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the system this evening.
The main question regarding the future intensity of Alberto is
whether or not the dry air will continue to be ingested near the
center of the cyclone, or whether deep convection is able to
regenerate overnight while the system is over marginally warm
SSTs and within a low shear environment. It is assumed that some
convection will redevelop to help maintain Alberto's intensity, but
that the environment will not be favorable enough to allow for
significant strengthening. As a result, little change in intensity
is forecast before Alberto reaches the northern Gulf Coast on
Monday.
Alberto appears to have turned north-northwestward with an initial
motion estimate of 345/12 kt. The cyclone should move northwestward
to north-northwestward tonight before turning back northward on
Monday as it becomes vertically aligned with the upper-level low.
After that time, the system should continue moving northward between
the western Atlantic ridge and a mid-upper level trough that
approaches the central U.S. around mid-week. The dynamical models
are in much better agreement on Alberto's track during the next 2 to
3 days, and the NHC track has been been adjusted accordingly. The
new track is slightly west of and slower than the previous track
during the first 24 to 36 hours.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. The risk of flooding and flash flooding over western Cuba, the
Florida Keys, and south Florida will continue through Monday. Heavy
rain and the risk of flooding will begin across the Florida
Panhandle tonight, then spread northward from the Florida Panhandle
into much of Alabama, western Georgia, and Tennessee through
Tuesday.
2. A hazardous storm surge is possible along portions of the
eastern Gulf Coast tonight and tomorrow, including areas well east
of the track of Alberto's center. Residents in the storm surge
watch area are encouraged to follow guidance given by their local
government officials.
3. Tropical storm conditions are likely within portions of the
tropical storm warning area tonight and tomorrow.
4. Dangerous surf and rip current conditions will continue to
affect portions of the eastern and northern Gulf Coast through
Monday.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 27/2100Z 28.0N 85.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 28/0600Z 29.1N 85.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...TROPICAL STORM
24H 28/1800Z 30.4N 86.2W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
36H 29/0600Z 32.2N 86.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 29/1800Z 34.7N 87.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
72H 30/1800Z 39.7N 86.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 31/1800Z 45.1N 83.1W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Brown
Re: Tormenta Subtropical Alberto.
4:00 PM CDT Sun May 27
Location: 28.0°N 85.2°W
Moving: NNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 994 mb
Max sustained: 50 mph
Location: 28.0°N 85.2°W
Moving: NNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 994 mb
Max sustained: 50 mph
Re: Tormenta Subtropical Alberto.
El NHC pronostica de forma oficial que tocará tierra con 50mph, eso no está escrito en piedra, veremos cómo evoluciona Alberto y que data nos traerá el avión caza huracán en su vuelo. Veremos
Re: Tormenta Subtropical Alberto.
BOLETIN
Tormenta Subtropical Alberto Advertencia Numero 10
SNM Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL012018
Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
400 PM CDT domingo 27 de mayo de 2018
...ALBERTO GIRA HACIA EL NORTE-NOROESTE SIN CAMBIOS EN LA
INTENSIDAD...
RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...28.0 NORTE 85.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 165 MI...265 KM O DE TAMPA FLORIDA
CERCA DE 120 MI...190 KM S DE APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...N O 345 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...994 MILIBARES...29.36 PULGADAS
VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:
El Aviso de Tormenta Tropical a lo largo de la costa oeste de
Florida ha sido descontinuado hacia el sur del Rio Anclote.
La Vigilancia de Marejada Ciclonica ha sido descontinuada a lo largo
de la costa norte del Golfo al oeste de Navarre, Florida.
RESUMEN DE LAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:
Una Vigilancia de Marejada Ciclonica esta en efecto para...
* Crystal River hasta Navarre Florida
Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Rio Anclote hasta la frontera entre Mississippi/Alabama
Una Vigilancia de Marejada Ciclonica significa que existe la
posibilidad de inundaciones amenazantes a la vida, debido a un
aumento de los niveles del agua moviendose hacia tierra adentro
desde las costas, a traves de las areas indicadas. Para una
descripcion de las areas bajo riesgo, favor de referirse a la
Grafica de Marejada Ciclonica del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia,
disponible en hurricanes.gov.
Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical significa que condiciones de tormenta
tropical se anticipan en algun lugar dentro del area bajo aviso.
Para informacion especifica sobre la tormenta en su area dentro de
los Estados Unidos, incluyendo posibles vigilancias y avisos, favor
de monitorear los productos emitidos por su oficina de pronostico
local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.
DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A las 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), el centro de la Tormenta Subtropical
Alberto estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 28.0 norte, longitud
85.2 oeste. La tormenta se esta moviendo hacia el norte-noroeste a
cerca de 12 mph (19 km/h). Se pronostica un movimiento hacia el
norte-noroeste con una velocidad de traslacion menor esta noche. Se
anticipa un movimiento hacia el norte-noroeste a norte el lunes
hasta el miercoles. En la trayectoria pronosticada, se espera que el
centro de Alberto se mueva sobre el norte del Golfo de Mexico esta
noche y se aproxime a la costa norte del Golfo dentro del area bajo
aviso el lunes. Es probable que lluvias fuertes y condiciones de
tormenta tropical alcancen la costa norte del Golfo mucho antes de
la llegada del centro de Alberto. Se espera que Alberto se mueva
hacia el norte sobre el Valle de Tennessee el martes y miercoles.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph (85 km/h) con
rafagas mas altas. Se pronostica algun fortalecimiento adicional
antes de que el sistema alcance la costa norte del Golfo. Se
anticipa un debilitamiento gradual luego de que Alberto se mueva
tierra adentro, y se pronostica que Alberto se convierta en una
depresion tropical el lunes en la noche o el martes.
Vientos de 50 mph se extienden hasta 115 millas (185 km)
principalmente hacia el este del centro.
La presion minima central estimada es de 994 mb (29.36 pulgadas).
PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
LLUVIA: Se espera que Alberto produzca las siguientes acumulaciones
de lluvia hasta el martes:
Cuba Central...5 a 10 pulgadas adicionales, cantidades aisladas de
20 a 25 pulgadas.
Extremo noroeste de Florida hacia el este de Alabama y oeste de
Georgia...4 a 8 pulgadas, 12 pulgadas aisladas.
Los Cayos de Florida y sur de Florida...3 a 6 pulgadas adicionales,
cantidades aisladas de 10 pulgadas.
Resto de la peninsula de Florida...1 a 4 pulgadas.
El resto del sureste de los Estados Unidos desde Tennessee hasta las
Carolinas...2 a 6 pulgadas.
Las lluvias en Cuba podrian producir inundaciones repentinas y
deslizamientos de tierra amenazantes a la vida. Inundaciones e
inundaciones repentinas son posibles en el sureste de los Estados
Unidos, incluyendo Florida.
VIENTO: Condiciones de tormenta tropical se extenderan hacia el
norte en el area bajo aviso esta noche y continuara hasta el lunes.
MAREJADA CICLONICA: La combinacion de marejada ciclonica y la marea
causara inundaciones en areas normalmente secas cerca de la costa
por el aumento del agua moviendose tierra adentro desde las costas.
El agua podria alcanzar las siguientes alturas sobre el nivel de
tierra en algun lugar dentro de las areas indicadas si el maximo de
la marejada ocurre al mismo tiempo que la marea alta...
Crystal River hasta la frontera entre Florida/Alabama...2 a 4 pies
Los niveles de agua mas altos ocurrira a lo largo de la costa
inmediata. Inundaciones relacionadas a marejada ciclonica dependera
del horario de la marejada y el ciclo de la marea, y puede variar
grandemente en distancias cortas. Para informacion especifica de su
area, favor de referirse a los productos emitidos por su oficina de
pronostico local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.
TORNADOS: Tornados aislados son posibles esta noche a traves del
centro y norte de la peninsula de Florida.
RESACAS: Marejadas generadas por Alberto afectaran la costa este y
norte del Golfo hasta el martes. Es probable que estas marejadas
causen resacas y corrientes marinas amenazantes a la vida. Para mas
informacion, favor de consultar los productos emitidos por su
oficina local de meteorologia.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
Proxima advertencia intermedia a las 7:00 PM CDT.
Proxima advertencia completa a las 1000 PM cDT.
$$
Pronosticador Brown
Traduccion IColonPagan
Tormenta Subtropical Alberto Advertencia Numero 10
SNM Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL012018
Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
400 PM CDT domingo 27 de mayo de 2018
...ALBERTO GIRA HACIA EL NORTE-NOROESTE SIN CAMBIOS EN LA
INTENSIDAD...
RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...28.0 NORTE 85.2 OESTE
CERCA DE 165 MI...265 KM O DE TAMPA FLORIDA
CERCA DE 120 MI...190 KM S DE APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...N O 345 GRADOS A 12 MPH...19 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...994 MILIBARES...29.36 PULGADAS
VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:
El Aviso de Tormenta Tropical a lo largo de la costa oeste de
Florida ha sido descontinuado hacia el sur del Rio Anclote.
La Vigilancia de Marejada Ciclonica ha sido descontinuada a lo largo
de la costa norte del Golfo al oeste de Navarre, Florida.
RESUMEN DE LAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:
Una Vigilancia de Marejada Ciclonica esta en efecto para...
* Crystal River hasta Navarre Florida
Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Rio Anclote hasta la frontera entre Mississippi/Alabama
Una Vigilancia de Marejada Ciclonica significa que existe la
posibilidad de inundaciones amenazantes a la vida, debido a un
aumento de los niveles del agua moviendose hacia tierra adentro
desde las costas, a traves de las areas indicadas. Para una
descripcion de las areas bajo riesgo, favor de referirse a la
Grafica de Marejada Ciclonica del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia,
disponible en hurricanes.gov.
Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical significa que condiciones de tormenta
tropical se anticipan en algun lugar dentro del area bajo aviso.
Para informacion especifica sobre la tormenta en su area dentro de
los Estados Unidos, incluyendo posibles vigilancias y avisos, favor
de monitorear los productos emitidos por su oficina de pronostico
local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.
DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO DE 48 HORAS
----------------------------------
A las 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), el centro de la Tormenta Subtropical
Alberto estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 28.0 norte, longitud
85.2 oeste. La tormenta se esta moviendo hacia el norte-noroeste a
cerca de 12 mph (19 km/h). Se pronostica un movimiento hacia el
norte-noroeste con una velocidad de traslacion menor esta noche. Se
anticipa un movimiento hacia el norte-noroeste a norte el lunes
hasta el miercoles. En la trayectoria pronosticada, se espera que el
centro de Alberto se mueva sobre el norte del Golfo de Mexico esta
noche y se aproxime a la costa norte del Golfo dentro del area bajo
aviso el lunes. Es probable que lluvias fuertes y condiciones de
tormenta tropical alcancen la costa norte del Golfo mucho antes de
la llegada del centro de Alberto. Se espera que Alberto se mueva
hacia el norte sobre el Valle de Tennessee el martes y miercoles.
Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph (85 km/h) con
rafagas mas altas. Se pronostica algun fortalecimiento adicional
antes de que el sistema alcance la costa norte del Golfo. Se
anticipa un debilitamiento gradual luego de que Alberto se mueva
tierra adentro, y se pronostica que Alberto se convierta en una
depresion tropical el lunes en la noche o el martes.
Vientos de 50 mph se extienden hasta 115 millas (185 km)
principalmente hacia el este del centro.
La presion minima central estimada es de 994 mb (29.36 pulgadas).
PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------
LLUVIA: Se espera que Alberto produzca las siguientes acumulaciones
de lluvia hasta el martes:
Cuba Central...5 a 10 pulgadas adicionales, cantidades aisladas de
20 a 25 pulgadas.
Extremo noroeste de Florida hacia el este de Alabama y oeste de
Georgia...4 a 8 pulgadas, 12 pulgadas aisladas.
Los Cayos de Florida y sur de Florida...3 a 6 pulgadas adicionales,
cantidades aisladas de 10 pulgadas.
Resto de la peninsula de Florida...1 a 4 pulgadas.
El resto del sureste de los Estados Unidos desde Tennessee hasta las
Carolinas...2 a 6 pulgadas.
Las lluvias en Cuba podrian producir inundaciones repentinas y
deslizamientos de tierra amenazantes a la vida. Inundaciones e
inundaciones repentinas son posibles en el sureste de los Estados
Unidos, incluyendo Florida.
VIENTO: Condiciones de tormenta tropical se extenderan hacia el
norte en el area bajo aviso esta noche y continuara hasta el lunes.
MAREJADA CICLONICA: La combinacion de marejada ciclonica y la marea
causara inundaciones en areas normalmente secas cerca de la costa
por el aumento del agua moviendose tierra adentro desde las costas.
El agua podria alcanzar las siguientes alturas sobre el nivel de
tierra en algun lugar dentro de las areas indicadas si el maximo de
la marejada ocurre al mismo tiempo que la marea alta...
Crystal River hasta la frontera entre Florida/Alabama...2 a 4 pies
Los niveles de agua mas altos ocurrira a lo largo de la costa
inmediata. Inundaciones relacionadas a marejada ciclonica dependera
del horario de la marejada y el ciclo de la marea, y puede variar
grandemente en distancias cortas. Para informacion especifica de su
area, favor de referirse a los productos emitidos por su oficina de
pronostico local del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia.
TORNADOS: Tornados aislados son posibles esta noche a traves del
centro y norte de la peninsula de Florida.
RESACAS: Marejadas generadas por Alberto afectaran la costa este y
norte del Golfo hasta el martes. Es probable que estas marejadas
causen resacas y corrientes marinas amenazantes a la vida. Para mas
informacion, favor de consultar los productos emitidos por su
oficina local de meteorologia.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
Proxima advertencia intermedia a las 7:00 PM CDT.
Proxima advertencia completa a las 1000 PM cDT.
$$
Pronosticador Brown
Traduccion IColonPagan
emh- huracan es simplemente ahora Edgardo. Importante: Phil Klotzbach, recordó que "el mejor momento para prepararse para los huracanes es cuando todavía no hay huracanes".
Re: Tormenta Subtropical Alberto.
Subtropical Storm Alberto Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012018
700 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018
..ALBERTO STRONGER...
Reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft
indicate that Alberto has strengthened and the maximum
sustained winds are now 65 mph (100 km/h) with
higher gusts. A special advisory will be issued within the hour.
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.3N 85.6W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Pasch
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012018
700 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018
..ALBERTO STRONGER...
Reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft
indicate that Alberto has strengthened and the maximum
sustained winds are now 65 mph (100 km/h) with
higher gusts. A special advisory will be issued within the hour.
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.3N 85.6W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Pasch
emh- huracan es simplemente ahora Edgardo. Importante: Phil Klotzbach, recordó que "el mejor momento para prepararse para los huracanes es cuando todavía no hay huracanes".
Re: Tormenta Subtropical Alberto.
Hay lo tenemos, Alberto más fuerte, el caza huracanes lo confirmó y si aprovecha el DMAX puede fortalecer un poco más, veremos.
Re: Tormenta Subtropical Alberto.
BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Alberto Special Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012018
730 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018
...ALBERTO STRONGER...
SUMMARY OF 730 PM CDT...0030 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.4N 85.7W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Crystal River to Navarre Florida
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anclote River to the Mississippi/Alabama border
A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at
risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge
Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 730 PM CDT (0030 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Alberto
was located near latitude 28.4 North, longitude 85.7 West. The
storm is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A
northwest to north-northwest motion with some decrease in forward
speed is expected overnight. A north-northwestward to northward
motion is expected Monday through Wednesday. On the forecast track,
the center of Alberto will move over the northern Gulf of Mexico
tonight and cross the northern Gulf Coast in the warning area on
Monday. Alberto is expected to move inland into the Tennessee Valley
on Tuesday and into the Ohio Valley on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little additional strengthening is expected before Albert
reaches the northern Gulf Coast. Steady weakening is expected after
landfall, and Alberto is forecast to become a tropical depression
Monday night or Tuesday.
Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the
center.
The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane
Hunter aircraft data is 991 mb (29.26 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Alberto is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Tuesday:
Central Cuba...Additional 5 to 10 inches, isolated storm-totals of
20-25 inches.
The Florida panhandle into much of Alabama and western Georgia...4
to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches.
The Florida Keys and south Florida...Additional 3 to 6 inches,
isolated storm totals of 10 inches.
Rest of the Florida peninsula...1 to 4 inches.
Rest of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley into the lower mid
Atlantic from Tennessee east through the Carolinas...2 to 6 inches.
Rains in Cuba could produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides. Flooding and flash flooding are possible in the
southeast United States, including Florida.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will spread northward within
the warning area tonight and continue through Monday.
STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Crystal River to Navarre Florida...2 to 4 ft
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast. Surge-
related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.
TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible through tonight across
the central and northern Florida peninsula.
SURF: Swells generated by Alberto will affect the eastern and
northern Gulf Coast through Tuesday. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. For more
information, consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Subtropical Storm Alberto Special Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012018
730 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018
...ALBERTO STRONGER...
SUMMARY OF 730 PM CDT...0030 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.4N 85.7W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Crystal River to Navarre Florida
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anclote River to the Mississippi/Alabama border
A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at
risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge
Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 730 PM CDT (0030 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Alberto
was located near latitude 28.4 North, longitude 85.7 West. The
storm is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A
northwest to north-northwest motion with some decrease in forward
speed is expected overnight. A north-northwestward to northward
motion is expected Monday through Wednesday. On the forecast track,
the center of Alberto will move over the northern Gulf of Mexico
tonight and cross the northern Gulf Coast in the warning area on
Monday. Alberto is expected to move inland into the Tennessee Valley
on Tuesday and into the Ohio Valley on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little additional strengthening is expected before Albert
reaches the northern Gulf Coast. Steady weakening is expected after
landfall, and Alberto is forecast to become a tropical depression
Monday night or Tuesday.
Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the
center.
The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane
Hunter aircraft data is 991 mb (29.26 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Alberto is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Tuesday:
Central Cuba...Additional 5 to 10 inches, isolated storm-totals of
20-25 inches.
The Florida panhandle into much of Alabama and western Georgia...4
to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches.
The Florida Keys and south Florida...Additional 3 to 6 inches,
isolated storm totals of 10 inches.
Rest of the Florida peninsula...1 to 4 inches.
Rest of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley into the lower mid
Atlantic from Tennessee east through the Carolinas...2 to 6 inches.
Rains in Cuba could produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides. Flooding and flash flooding are possible in the
southeast United States, including Florida.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will spread northward within
the warning area tonight and continue through Monday.
STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Crystal River to Navarre Florida...2 to 4 ft
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast. Surge-
related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.
TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible through tonight across
the central and northern Florida peninsula.
SURF: Swells generated by Alberto will affect the eastern and
northern Gulf Coast through Tuesday. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. For more
information, consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
emh- huracan es simplemente ahora Edgardo. Importante: Phil Klotzbach, recordó que "el mejor momento para prepararse para los huracanes es cuando todavía no hay huracanes".
Re: Tormenta Subtropical Alberto.
El aire seco a estado entrando a la circulación de Alberto y no lo ha dejado fortalecer más, en parte a sido bueno por las personas que están cerca de recibir un impacto directo del sistema, pienso que si no le entraba ese aire seco pudiéramos estar viendo un Categoría 2 antes de entrar a tierra, pero así es la meteorología demasiado de muchos factores, veremos si logra ser huracán o se mantiene como tormenta aunque tenga un Sub.