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Tormenta Subtropical Alberto.

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Villafañe
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Tormenta Subtropical Alberto.

Post by Villafañe »

Saludos. Por aquí nuevamente, parece que está baja presión pudiera tener buenas posibilidades de desarrollo cuando entre al Golfo de México. Veremos
000
ABNT20 KNHC 231153 CCA
TWOAT

Special Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed May 23 2018

Corrected header

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad surface low centered near the coast of northeastern Belize
continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and showers
extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba and into
the Florida Straits. Little development is expected during the
next couple of days due to strong upper-level winds and proximity to
the Yucatan Peninsula. However, environmental conditions are then
forecast to become more conducive for development, and a subtropical
or tropical depression could form this weekend over the eastern or
central Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rainfall is possible across western Cuba and the Cayman Islands
during the next few days, and over much of Florida and the
northern Gulf Coast during the weekend. For more information on the
heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local weather
office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system
will be issued by 800 PM EDT.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake
Last edited by Villafañe on Fri May 25, 2018 10:17 am, edited 6 times in total.
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 90l con 0/60% en 5 Días.

Post by Villafañe »

Imagen actual. Image
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 90l con 10/70%en 5 Días.

Post by Villafañe »

Sube a 10% y 70% a cinco días.
000
ABNT20 KNHC 232308
TWOAT

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
710 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad surface low centered over the southeastern Yucatan
Peninsula has become better defined since yesterday, and it
continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and showers
extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba into the
Florida Straits. Continued slow development of this system is
possible during the next couple of days as it drifts northward near
the Yucatan Peninsula. Thereafter, environmental conditions are
forecast to become more conducive for development, and a subtropical
or tropical depression is likely to form this weekend over the
eastern or central Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rainfall is possible across western Cuba and the
Cayman Islands during the next few days, and over much of Florida
and the northern Gulf Coast during the weekend. For more information
on the heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local
weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this
system will be issued by 800 AM EDT on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 90l con 10/70%en 5 Días.

Post by Villafañe »

Todos los modelos cantan a coro desarrollo en el Golfo de México con esta baja presión. Veremos
WeatherfanPR
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Re: Invest 90l con 10%/70% en 5 Días.

Post by WeatherfanPR »

De todas estas trayectorias, la mejor para nosotros en Tampa para no recibir muchas lluvias y viento es que el centro pase por el sur de la Florida.

Image
Last edited by WeatherfanPR on Thu May 24, 2018 4:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 90l con 40%/80% sus probabilidades de desarrollo.

Post by Villafañe »

Suben a 40%/80% las probabilidades de desarrollo.
000
ABNT20 KNHC 241140
TWOAT

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
740 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad, stationary surface low pressure system centered over the
southeastern Yucatan Peninsula is gradually becoming better defined.
Although showers and thunderstorms, along with strong gusty winds,
are confined primarily to the adjacent waters of the northwestern
Caribbean Sea, gradual development of this system is expected during
the next couple of days as it drifts northward near the Yucatan
Peninsula. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more
conducive for development through early next week, and a subtropical
or tropical depression is likely to form by late Saturday over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally
heavy rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of
Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week. In
addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along
the Gulf coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over Memorial Day
weekend. For more information on these threats, please see products
issued by your local weather office. The next Special Tropical
Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 200 PM EDT this
afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 90l con 40%/80% sus probabilidades de desarrollo.

Post by Villafañe »

Image
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 90l con 40%/80% sus probabilidades de desarrollo.

Post by Villafañe »

Los modelos continúan unánimes en que Alberto nacerá en el Golfo de México. Veremos
Villafañe
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Re: Invest 90l con 70%/90% sus probabilidades de desarrollo.

Post by Villafañe »

Suben a 70%/90% las posibilidades.
000
ACCA62 TJSJ 241741 CCA
TWOSPN

Perspectiva Especial sobre las Condiciones del Tiempo Tropical
Emitido por el Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami, FL
Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
130 PM EDT jueves 24 de mayo de 2018

Para el Atlantico Norte...Mar Caribe y Golfo de Mexico:

Una amplia baja presion desplazandose lentamente hacia el norte
sobre el este de la Peninsula de Yucatan continua tornandose mejor
definida. Aunque los aguaceros y tormentas, junto a fuertes rafagas
de viento, permanecen mayormente sobre las aguas adyacentes al
noroeste del Mar Caribe, se pronostica que las condiciones
ambientales se vuelvan mas favorables para desarrollo hasta temprano
la proxima semana y es probable que una depresion tropical o
subtropical tarde el sabado sobre el sureste del Golfo de Mexico. Un
Avion de Reconocimiento de la Reserva de las Fuerzas Aereas esta
programado para investigar el disturbio en la tarde del viernes, de
ser necesario. Se pronostica lluvia localmente fuerte sobre el oeste
de Cuba y gran parte de Florida y el norte de la costa del Golfo
hasta temprano la proxima semana. Adicionalmente, el riesgo de
corrientes marinas aumentara continuamente a traves de la costa del
Golfo desde Florida hacia el oeste hasta Louisiana durante el fin de
semana del Dia de la Recordacion. Para mas informacion sobre estos
riesgos, por favor vea los productos emitidos por su oficina local
de meteorologia. La proxima Perspectiva Especial sobre las
Condiciones del Tiempo Tropical sera emitido a las 800 PM EST de hoy.

* Probabilidad de formacion hasta 48 horas...alta... 70 por ciento.
* Probabilidad de formacion hasta 5 dias...alta...90 por ciento.

$$

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Re: Invest 90l con 70%/90% sus probabilidades de desarrollo.

Post by YankeeStorm »

Parece q será grande Albertooooooo
Refer to National Hurricane Center
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