CycloForums - Huracanes y Meteorología

000
ACCA62 TJSJ 141809
TWOSPN

Perspectiva Especial sobre las condiciones del tiempo tropical
Emitida por el Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami, FL
Traduccion por la oficina del Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia
San Juan PR
200 PM EDT jueves 14 de septiembre de 2017


Otra onda tropical, localizada entre la costa oeste de Africa y las
Islas de Cabo Verde, esta produciendo un area grande de actividad
desorganizada de aguaceros y tronadas. Algun desarrollo gradual de
este sistema es posible durante los proximos dias antes de que los
vientos se tornen menos favorables. Se pronostica que este sistema
se mueva hacia el oeste noroeste de 10 a 15 mph a traves del extremo
este del Atlantico Tropical durante los proximos dias.
* Probabilidad de desarrollo en 48 horas...mediana...60 por ciento.
* Probabilidad de desarrollo en 5 dias...alta...70 por ciento.

$$

Pronosticador Blake
Traduccion Vazquez

Pinta mejor en este momento que el 96l. Veremos de cual "cuero salen mas correas". Jaja

Pinta mejor y se ve mucho más adulta en este momento. Debe ser Depresión en un par de días.

Georges_98 wrote: ↑Thu Sep 14, 2017 5:14 pm

Pinta mejor y se ve mucho más adulta en este momento. Debe ser Depresión en un par de días.

los modelo asi los predicen que esta sera depresion primero

Se ve bien

Le van a dar un upgrade pronto!

AL, 14, 2017091500, , BEST, 0, 105N, 247W, 30, 1010, TD

BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fourteen Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

AL142017 1100 PM AST Thu Sep 14 2017 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.7N 25.4W ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM SSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------

- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------

At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fourteen was located near latitude 10.7 North, longitude 25.4 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 22 mph (35 km/h). A slower westward motion is forecast to begin on Friday and continue through Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later tonight or Friday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb.

None NEXT ADVISORY -------------

Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$

Forecaster Brown NNNN

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fourteen Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142017
500 AM AST Fri Sep 15 2017

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE FAR EASTERN
ATLANTIC...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.6N 27.3W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM SSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fourteen
was located near latitude 10.6 North, longitude 27.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The depression is forecast to become a Tropical Storm later today
or tomorrow.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/ ... d_wind.png

AL, 14, 2017091612, , BEST, 0, 125N, 328W, 30, 1008, T

Parece que Lee podría ser su nombre.

Entonces ahora en el boletín de las 5am apunta su trayectoria “casi” para el Caribe?

Big difference!
A las 11pm de ayer la TRAYECTORIA q mostraba el NHC era lejos bien al Norte de PR...

Trayectoria hoy 5:00am Depresión Tropical 14




Trayectoria ayer 11:00pm Depresión Tropical 14