isturbance 1: 20% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 5 Days
As of 8:00 pm EDT Thu Sep 7 2017 ...
A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of Africa in
approximately two days. Environmental conditions may be favorable
for the development of this system as it progresses
west-northwestward over the eastern Atlantic Ocean early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Onda sobre Africa 20% - 40%
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3721
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Onda sobre Africa 20% - 40%
Last edited by StormWatch on Sat Sep 09, 2017 2:10 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3721
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Onda sobre Africa 0% - 20%
Que tal?
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
-
- Cat. 3
- Posts: 3721
- Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
- Location: Texas, USA
Re: Onda sobre Africa 10% - 30%
Up 20% - 40%
000
ABNT20 KNHC 091740
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Sep 9 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Irma, located near the northern coast of central Cuba, and on
Hurricane Jose, located just northeast of the northern Leeward
Islands. The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory
on the remnants of Katia, which has dissipated over eastern Mexico.
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave
located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands has
become somewhat better organized today. Environmental conditions
are expected to support at least some additional development, and a
tropical depression could form in a few days while the system moves
generally northwestward over the eastern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Zelinsky
000
ABNT20 KNHC 091740
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Sep 9 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Irma, located near the northern coast of central Cuba, and on
Hurricane Jose, located just northeast of the northern Leeward
Islands. The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory
on the remnants of Katia, which has dissipated over eastern Mexico.
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave
located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands has
become somewhat better organized today. Environmental conditions
are expected to support at least some additional development, and a
tropical depression could form in a few days while the system moves
generally northwestward over the eastern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Zelinsky
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]
ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Re: Onda sobre Africa 20% - 40%
Tremenda curva le auguran a esta. Veremos