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Huracán Irma

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edgardo
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
Posts: 358
Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 8:01 am

Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by edgardo »

Aqui ultimo boletin.

BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Intermediate Advisory Number 18A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
800 PM AST Sun Sep 03 2017

...IRMA EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS BY
LATE TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 49.8W
ABOUT 760 MI...1220 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis
* Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten
* Saint Martin and Saint Barthelemy

Interests in the remainder of the Leeward Islands, the British and
U.S. Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of
Irma. Additional Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches may be
required for portions of this area on Monday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Irma was located
by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 17.4 North,
longitude 50.3 West. Irma is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22
km/h). A westward to west-southwestward motion with some reduction
in forward speed is expected through Monday night. On the forecast
track, the center of Irma is expected to approach the northern
Leeward Islands late Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).

The minimum central pressure estimated from NOAA Hurricane Hunter
observations is 959 mb (28.32 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area by
Tuesday night, with tropical storm conditions possible by late
Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
emh- huracan es simplemente ahora Edgardo. Importante: Phil Klotzbach, recordó que "el mejor momento para prepararse para los huracanes es cuando todavía no hay huracanes".
vaguada
Depresión Tropical
Depresión Tropical
Posts: 319
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:51 pm

Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by vaguada »

edgardo wrote: Sun Sep 03, 2017 7:42 pm Aqui ultimo boletin.

BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Intermediate Advisory Number 18A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
800 PM AST Sun Sep 03 2017

...IRMA EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS BY
LATE TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 49.8W
ABOUT 760 MI...1220 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis
* Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten
* Saint Martin and Saint Barthelemy

Interests in the remainder of the Leeward Islands, the British and
U.S. Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of
Irma. Additional Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches may be
required for portions of this area on Monday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Irma was located
by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 17.4 North,
longitude 50.3 West. Irma is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22
km/h). A westward to west-southwestward motion with some reduction
in forward speed is expected through Monday night. On the forecast
track, the center of Irma is expected to approach the northern
Leeward Islands late Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).

The minimum central pressure estimated from NOAA Hurricane Hunter
observations is 959 mb (28.32 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area by
Tuesday night, with tropical storm conditions possible by late
Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
No entiendo. Al inicio da unas coordenadas en el descriptivo otras
Las vaguadas no somos tan malas como algunos creen :lol: :lol:
Javier
Invest
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Posts: 243
Joined: Thu Sep 05, 2013 12:50 am

Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by Javier »

Aja a q coordenadas le hacemos caso?
User avatar
CarlosP
Tormenta Tropical
Tormenta Tropical
Posts: 512
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:47 pm

Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by CarlosP »

17.4 es la final
Siempre recuerden esto:

Los sistemas tropicales no se mueven en linea recta, se mueven es "zig-zag", o oscilaciones. Es normal que este a 290 grados y de momento vaya a 270 grados, esto hace un promedio de 280 grados, lo cual es Oeste-Noroeste. Es normal.
Stormegg
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Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2015 7:55 pm

Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by Stormegg »

parece q estan dando 2 coordenadas diferentes, la de NHC estimada a satelite y la del avion caza hurracanes q es mas al sur.....pero no c cual es la razon para eso
Javier
Invest
Invest
Posts: 243
Joined: Thu Sep 05, 2013 12:50 am

Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by Javier »

CarlosP wrote: Sun Sep 03, 2017 7:51 pm 17.4 es la final
Gracias Carlos por qué quedé confundido. Yo creo que ya la tenían hecha y se les olvido borrar una y poner la
Nueva .
Javier
Invest
Invest
Posts: 243
Joined: Thu Sep 05, 2013 12:50 am

Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by Javier »

000
WTNT31 KNHC 032351 CCA
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Intermediate Advisory Number 18A...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
800 PM AST Sun Sep 03 2017

Corrected location

...IRMA EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS BY
LATE TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 50.3W
ABOUT 760 MI...1220 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis
* Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten
* Saint Martin and Saint Barthelemy

Interests in the remainder of the Leeward Islands, the British and
U.S. Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of
Irma. Additional Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches may be
required for portions of this area on Monday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Irma was located by a
NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 17.4 North, longitude
50.3 West. Irma is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A
westward to west-southwestward motion with some reduction in forward
speed is expected through Monday night. On the forecast track, the
center of Irma is expected to approach the northern Leeward Islands
late Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).

The minimum central pressure estimated from NOAA Hurricane Hunter
observations is 959 mb (28.32 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area by
Tuesday night, with tropical storm conditions possible by late
Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
digital77
Invest
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Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by digital77 »

Cuanto más se espera que baje según las proyecciones?
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by StormWatch »

LOL
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Huracan Irma - Categoría 3

Post by StormWatch »

digital77 wrote: Sun Sep 03, 2017 7:54 pm Cuanto más se espera que baje según las proyecciones?
17.2N 51.4W Esto según el NHC
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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