CycloForums - Huracanes y Meteorología

Una nueva area de interes surge detras de la 95L .Cuenta con buena conveccion al momento y se espera se mueva al Noroeste.Aunque al momento no representa amenaza para el Caribe abro el topico para el interes general:
"An area of disturbed weather has developed several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some development of
this system is possible over the next several days while it moves
slowly toward the west-northwest or northwest over the open Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent."

Sube a 20-30 (TWO 8 am lunes 17 ):
An area of disturbed weather is located about 800 miles west-
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of
this system is possible over the next few days while it moves slowly
toward the west-northwest or northwest over the open Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Modelo JMA 12z 7-17-17 en 144 hrs:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... 712&fh=144

TWO 8PM:
"A tropical wave is centered over the tropical central Atlantic and
is producing limited showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual
development of this system is possible over the next few days while
it moves slowly toward the west-northwest or northwest at 10 to 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent."

Con q ahora dará un giro drástico 96L?
Y cuál es tu posible trayectoria?????
Contéstame 96L?

Hmmmm!

En mi opinion, yo hubiese esperado, como minimo a las 8 PM para trabajar esos por cientos. Bueno, la imagen de satelite no siempre es lo que uno ve. Lo cierto es que yo la veo mejor que cuando tenia 30%.