Tormenta Tropical Don
Re: Onda en el Atlantico Central 10%-20%
Saludos! Se unieron los dos topicos en que se referian a la misma onda tropical en el Centro del Atlantico con posibilidad baja de desarrollo. No se borro ningun post, se unieron todos al topico que estaba abierto primero para evitar duplicidad.
Gracias!
Gracias!
Re: Onda en el Atlantico Central 10%-20%
Bueno...lo que pasa es que esto es un disturbio que lleva ahi como pa 5 dias ya, con cierto nivel de rotacion cerca a la 40W que todavia no llega a la superficie.
La Onda que dio paso a este topico ya va llegando a la 50W y segun cuenta el americano tiene polvo tanto de un lado como del otro, pero puede que
O sea. que puede que ya empezando la semana, quizas coja algo de conveccion e incluso, puede que hasta un LOW se origine en algun punto del camino
Muy bien!
Esa es la parte positiva, la negativa es que la alta presion esta forrada en hormigon, cualquier "cosa" que surja al este, pasa al sur a no menos de 500 millas, de no surgir una vaguada repentina o algun "tubo que chupa" al norte de la isla.
A la salida de Africa parece que el polvo va a coger una ligera pausa...quizas si se tira al charco una onda con caracter, pudiera tener alguna posibilidad.
No es mucho...pero es algo
La Onda que dio paso a este topico ya va llegando a la 50W y segun cuenta el americano tiene polvo tanto de un lado como del otro, pero puede que
acquire more convection early next week with
the possibility of low pressure forming along it.
O sea. que puede que ya empezando la semana, quizas coja algo de conveccion e incluso, puede que hasta un LOW se origine en algun punto del camino
Muy bien!
Esa es la parte positiva, la negativa es que la alta presion esta forrada en hormigon, cualquier "cosa" que surja al este, pasa al sur a no menos de 500 millas, de no surgir una vaguada repentina o algun "tubo que chupa" al norte de la isla.
A la salida de Africa parece que el polvo va a coger una ligera pausa...quizas si se tira al charco una onda con caracter, pudiera tener alguna posibilidad.
No es mucho...pero es algo
Re: Onda en el Atlantico Central 10%-20%
Bueno ya es el invest 95L y codigo anaranjado 20%/40% a cinco dias, Veremos.
Re: Onda en el Atlantico Central 10%-20%
Bueno aqui hay de todo envuelto un avion caza huracanes, aire seco que pudiera danar la fiesta, Veremos
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A low pressure trough over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although this
system is close to dry air, some slow development is possible over
the next few days while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the disturbance Monday afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Forecaster Stewart
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jul 16 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A low pressure trough over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although this
system is close to dry air, some slow development is possible over
the next few days while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the disturbance Monday afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Forecaster Stewart
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Re: Onda en el Atlantico Central 20%-40%
En par de horas, esto ha mejorao como de aqui a Rusia Basicamente, no parece haber otro factor que lo limite, salvo el aire seco al norte y parece que esto no va a subir mucho, asi que debe tener buen abasto de humedad en esas latitudes donde la ITCZ se nota bastante robusta___ Quizas los modelos comiencen a "desarrollarla" ahora que ta cogiendo forma..morning para todos!
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Re: Invest 95l en el Atlantico Central 30%-40%
TWO 8PM 7-16-17:
"A weak area of low pressure located about 900 miles east-southeast
of the Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are marginally
conducive for some development of this system before it reaches the
Lesser Antilles in two to three days. After that time, less
favorable upper-level winds are expected to hinder additional
development. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance Monday afternoon, if
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent."
"A weak area of low pressure located about 900 miles east-southeast
of the Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are marginally
conducive for some development of this system before it reaches the
Lesser Antilles in two to three days. After that time, less
favorable upper-level winds are expected to hinder additional
development. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance Monday afternoon, if
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent."
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- Depresión Tropical
- Posts: 451
- Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am
Re: Invest 95l en el Atlantico Central 30%-40%
95 l Ganando en formacion esta noche. Otra area interesante un poco man atras por la 37 W. Las dos lucen con buena rotacion.
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Re: Invest 95l en el Atlantico Central 40%-50%
TWO 2 am 7-17-17:
"A small low pressure system located about 800 miles east of the
Windward Islands is moving westward at about 15 mph. Associated
shower and thunderstorm activity is beginning to show some signs
of organization, and environmental conditions are forecast to be
marginally conducive for some development of this system before it
reaches the Lesser Antilles in two to three days. After that time,
less favorable upper-level winds are expected to hinder additional
development. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon, if
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent."
"A small low pressure system located about 800 miles east of the
Windward Islands is moving westward at about 15 mph. Associated
shower and thunderstorm activity is beginning to show some signs
of organization, and environmental conditions are forecast to be
marginally conducive for some development of this system before it
reaches the Lesser Antilles in two to three days. After that time,
less favorable upper-level winds are expected to hinder additional
development. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon, if
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent."
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- Depresión Tropical
- Posts: 451
- Joined: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:30 am
Re: Invest 95l en el Atlantico Central 40%-50%
Nuevo GFS-P 00Z en 66 hrs:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... 1700&fh=66
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... 1700&fh=66