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Detrás de la DT4 (GFS/Europeo agresivos)

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StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Detrás de la DT4 (GFS/Europeo agresivos)

Post by StormWatch »

Javier wrote:Storm yo estaba pensando lo mismo del servicio eléctrico . Creo que a menos que nos den fondos federales por desastes quedarianos sin luz hasta el 2050
Jeejjee! Válgame! 2050 Súper LOL
En Texas tengo familiares q trabajan en FEMA, q por cierto se fueron de PR cuando cerraron las oficinas.
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Detrás de la DT4 (GFS/Europeo agresivos)

Post by StormWatch »

Breaking NEWS!
GFS 00z tiene un Categoría 4 cerca al sur de PR! :shock:
Muy peligrosa esa ruta, y eso sería ya para este viernes...


Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Detrás de la DT4 (GFS/Europeo agresivos)

Post by StormWatch »

En solo 120 horas aproximadamente pudiéramos estar bajo algún aviso si se materializa este pronóstico....So......... :|
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
Arlequín
Cat. 1
Cat. 1
Posts: 1147
Joined: Thu Aug 08, 2013 6:43 am

Re: Detrás de la DT4 (GFS/Europeo agresivos)

Post by Arlequín »

StormWatch wrote:Breaking NEWS!
GFS 00z tiene un Categoría 4 cerca al sur de PR! :shock:
Muy peligrosa esa ruta, y eso sería ya para este viernes...


Image
Parece un Categoría 2
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Detrás de la DT4 (GFS/Europeo agresivos)

Post by StormWatch »

2am (0% - 20%)
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred
miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a
tropical wave. Some gradual development is possible through the
week while this system moves westward at about 20 mph across the
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Berg
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Detrás de la DT4 (GFS/Europeo agresivos)

Post by StormWatch »

2am (0% - 20%)
El cono cambio.....Hmmmmm GFS?

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Detrás de la DT4 (GFS/Europeo agresivos)

Post by StormWatch »

8am
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred
miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a
tropical wave. Some gradual development is possible through the
week while this system moves westward at about 20 mph across the
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Detrás de la DT4 (GFS/Europeo agresivos)

Post by StormWatch »

Le voy a dar 24 horas para q el GFS se retracte y pida disculpas públicas, es el único modelo q juega con los sentimientos tropicales.
Next time, le someteré una multa de $10,000 sin pena alguna! :mrgreen:
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Detrás de la DT4 (GFS/Europeo agresivos)

Post by StormWatch »

Bla, bla...

Image
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
Cat. 3
Cat. 3
Posts: 3721
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 11:39 am
Location: Texas, USA

Re: Detrás de la DT4 (GFS/Europeo agresivos)

Post by StormWatch »

Hola!

:lol:
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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