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Huracan Cat 4 Nicole hacia Bermuda

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Alberto
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Huracan Cat 4 Nicole hacia Bermuda

Post by Alberto »

El GFS insiste en formar otro sistema detrás del P 43L (Matthew) que vigilamos. Hay otros modelos como el CMC y Navgem que tiene un sistema para el 1 de octubre... por si acaso, le abro este topic.
Last edited by Alberto on Thu Oct 06, 2016 7:59 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Alberto
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Re: GFS forma otro sistema detrás del P43L

Post by Alberto »

Image


Me pregunto, será entonces ese otro sistema el que ve Navgem y CMC para el 1 de octubre??

Image
Javier
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Re: GFS forma otro sistema detrás del P43L

Post by Javier »

Saludos Alberto así es sobre todo el CMC que desarrolla más agresivo a este sistema que continuaremos monitoreando
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Alberto
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Re: GFS forma otro sistema detrás del P43L

Post by Alberto »

Muy complicado el asunto, la verdad que no lo compro mucho.. eso de separar los dos sistemas
huracan sur
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Re: GFS forma otro sistema detrás del P43L

Post by huracan sur »

Digo presente también aquí a observar todo lo que se acerque al Caribe
Para información oficial favor referirse a las agencias pertinentes. Un aficionado a la meteorología #TeamCycloforums
Alberto
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Re: GFS forma otro sistema detrás del P43L

Post by Alberto »

Se ganó su pintura amarilla
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Re: Onda al Este de las Antillas 10/20%

Post by Alberto »

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Re: Onda al Este de las Antillas 10/20%

Post by Vigilante »

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Matthew, located over the south-central Caribbean Sea.

1. A weak area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central
tropical Atlantic well east of the Lesser Antilles. Although recent
satellite wind data indicate that the system is producing winds just
below tropical storm force, any additional development is expected
to be slow to occur due to strong upper-level winds while the low
moves northwestward at 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent
Siempre la Madre Naturaleza es la última que ríe.
StormWatch
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Re: Onda al Este de las Antillas 10/20%

Post by StormWatch »

Up 20% - 30%

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN OCT 2 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Matthew, located over the central Caribbean Sea.

1. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized
near a broad area of low pressure located about 600 miles
east-northeast of the Leeward Islands. The low has moved into an
area where upper-level winds could be a little more conducive for
development during the next day or two, but these winds are
expected to become unfavorable again by the middle of the week.
Therefore, significant development of the low is still expected to
be slow to occur while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward
at 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Forecaster Berg
Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
StormWatch
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Re: Onda al Este de las Antillas 10/20%

Post by StormWatch »

Member Since 2005
For official information, please refer to NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico:
San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022

Model Runs:
GFS:
[5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM]

HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM:
[6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM]

ECMWF:
[1:45 AM/PM]
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