Post-Tropical - Bonnie

[emanuelrgz]

Tenemos una zona sospechosa que podría tener algún desarrollo en los próximos días. De adquirir características ciclónicas, sería el 4to sistema en desarrollarse en mayo en los pasados cuatro años.

000
ABNT20 KNHC 241935
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
335 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of showers and thunderstorms over the western Atlantic Ocean
near and northeast of the Bahamas is associated with the
interaction of an upper-level trough and a weakening cold front.
While development is not expected for the next couple of days,
environmental conditions could become more conducive for some
tropical or subtropical development by Friday. This area of
disturbed weather is expected to move slowly west-northwestward or
northwestward and gradually approach the southeastern United
States over the next few days. The next Special Tropical Weather
Outlook will be issued by 4 PM EDT Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake

[emanuelrgz]

[Villafañe]

Saludos
Comenzaron la observación de área sospechosa de posible formación ciclónica, veremos qué pasa. Los modelos en sus últimas corridas están algo tímido pero olfatendo la posibilidad, estaré pendiente.

[Villafañe]

Saludos Nuevamente

Por otro lado vieron las corridas del cmc y el gfs despues de 160 horas dejan lluvia para la isla y cmc desarrolla algo cerca al norte de la isla y el gfs coquetea con desarrollo un poco mas al norte que el cmc. Veremos.

[emanuelrgz]

Saludos Nuevamente

Por otro lado vieron las corridas del cmc y el gfs despues de 160 horas dejan lluvia para la isla y cmc desarrolla algo cerca al norte de la isla y el gfs coquetea con desarrollo un poco mas al norte que el cmc. Veremos.

El juego empieza bieeen interesante este año.

[emanuelrgz]

Aumenta a 10/50%:

000
ABNT20 KNHC 251216
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
815 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of cloudiness and showers over the western Atlantic Ocean
northeast of the Bahamas is associated with the interaction of an
upper-level trough and a weakening front. While development is not
anticipated for the next couple of days, environmental conditions
are expected to become more conducive for tropical or subtropical
development on Friday. This area of disturbed weather is forecast to
move slowly west-northwestward or northwestward and gradually
approach the southeastern United States over the weekend. The next
Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued by 8 PM EDT tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake

[Villafañe]

Saludos

8pm suben los% 30/60

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
740 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Cloudiness and showers over the western Atlantic Ocean a few hundred
miles northeast of the Bahamas are associated with a newly formed
area of low pressure. Environmental conditions are expected to
gradually become more conducive for development, and a tropical or
subtropical cyclone could form on Friday or Saturday. The low is
forecast to move slowly west-northwestward or northwestward and
approach the southeastern United States over the weekend. The next
Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this disturbance will be issued
by 9 AM EDT on Thursday. For additional information on this system,
see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS Header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO Header FZNT01 KWBC.

Forecaster Kimberlain

[emanuelrgz]

...y siguen subiendo, ahora a 50/70% y hay un avión cazahuracanes asignado para investigar el área el viernes, de ser necesario.

000
ABNT20 KNHC 261226
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
825 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A low pressure area centered between Bermuda and the Bahamas is
gradually becoming better defined while shower activity is
increasing. Environmental conditions are expected to become more
conducive for tropical or subtropical cyclone formation on Friday
while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward toward
the southeastern United States coast. With the Memorial Day weekend
approaching, all interests along the southeast coast from Georgia
through North Carolina should monitor the progress of this low. An
Air Force reconnaissance plane will be scheduled to investigate
this low on Friday. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on
this disturbance will be issued by 3 PM EDT today. For additional
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS Header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO Header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Avila

[emanuelrgz]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 261853
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
255 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The low pressure area centered between Bermuda and the Bahamas
has an elongated circulation, although the shower activity has
been increasing during the past 24 hours. Environmental conditions
are expected to become more conducive for a tropical or subtropical
cyclone to form on Friday or Saturday while the system moves
west-northwestward or northwestward toward the southeastern United
States coast. With the Memorial Day weekend approaching, all
interests along the southeast coast from Georgia through North
Carolina should monitor the progress of this low. An Air Force
reconnaissance plane is scheduled to investigate this low on
Friday afternoon. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this
disturbance will be issued by 8 PM EDT tonight. For additional
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS Header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO Header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Avila

[Villafañe]

Saludos

Aqui imagenes del 91L que se actualiza cada 30 minutos.