Aquí encontrarás todo lo relacionado al la meteorología en Puerto Rico y las condiciones del tiempo actuales, así como los huracanes que se desarrollen durante las temporadas ciclónicas, actualizados por expertos y aficionados a la meteorología de todo el pais! Este es tu foro! Leelo, escribe en el y disfrútalo! Cycloman.
CRASH wrote: ↑Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:07 am
Y movieron su trayectoria un poco al sur, alejado de Pr pero un chin mas al sur que la trayectoria anterior
Eso parece y tambien que luce como que inicia o esta por comenzar el esperado movimiento WSW. Como se ha dicho, muy importante el tiempo que dure esta fase. Tambien esta pendiente cuan fuerte seria ese aumento en la Alta presion.
Durante el dia de hoy a manana sabremos cuanto habra bajado antes de volver a subir y su efecto sobre la distancia en que podria pasar de PR.
"Georgy Girl", The Seekers
"Back for Good", Take That "Perfectionist", SAGA
"Graves Into Gardens", Elevation Worship ft. Brandon Lake
"Thunder", Imagine Dragons
"Viva la Vida", Coldplay
BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 AM AST Sat Sep 02 2017
...IRMA CONTINUES TO FLUCTUATE IN STRENGTH BUT REMAINS A POWERFUL
HURRICANE...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 41.8W
ABOUT 1320 MI...2120 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the
progress of this system.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 41.8 West. Irma is moving toward
the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A west-southwest motion is
expected during the next couple of days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher
gusts. Fluctuations in strength, up or down, are possible during
the next couple of days, but Irma is expected to remain a powerful
hurricane into early next week.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles
(110 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico: San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Hurricane Irma Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 AM AST Sat Sep 02 2017
Irma appears to have weakened a little during the last several
hours. The eye has become cloud filled once again, and the
convective pattern is not as impressive as it was yesterday. A
blend of the latest Dvorak classifications from TAFB/SAB and
ADT values from CIMSS at the University of Wisconsin support
lowering the initial wind speed a little to 95 kt. It is
interesting to note that a ship (BATFR17) passed within 50 n mi to
the west of the center of Irma and has only reported winds of
about 40 kt, indicating that the core of Irma is compact.
The observed fluctuations in strength during the past day or so are
likely to continue for about another day while Irma remains over
marginally warm waters and in fairly close proximity to dry air.
Eyewall replacement cycles, like the one observed yesterday,
could occur, but forecasting the timing and duration of these are
not possible. After 24 hours, Irma is expected to move over
progressively warmer waters and into a more moist environment.
These more favorable conditions combined with low to moderate wind
shear should allow the hurricane to strengthen. The NHC intensity
forecast follows the consensus aids HCCA and IVCN, and it is fairly
similar to the previous advisory.
Irma is now moving due west at 12 kt. A subtropical high pressure
system to the north of the hurricane is expected to strengthen and
build westward during the next couple of days. This pattern should
cause Irma to move west-southwestward during that time. Thereafter,
a turn back to the west and then west-northwest is predicted in the
3-5 day time period when Irma moves on the south and southwest sides
of the high. Although the models agree on the overall scenario,
there remains about 200 n mi north-south spread among the
best-performing models on day 5. The NHC track forecast has been
adjusted to the south at the longer-range points, and it is about
halfway between the latest runs of the GFS and ECMWF models.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. Irma is expected to be a major hurricane when it moves closer to
the Lesser Antilles early next week, producing rough surf and rip
currents. Irma could also cause dangerous wind, storm surge, and
rainfall impacts on some islands, although it is too soon to specify
where and when those hazards could occur. Residents in the Lesser
Antilles should monitor the progress of Irma through the weekend and
listen to any advice given by local officials.
2. It is much too early to determine what direct impacts Irma will
have on the continental United States. Regardless, everyone in
hurricane-prone areas should ensure that they have their hurricane
plan in place, as we are now near the peak of the season.
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico: San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico: San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Saludos a todos tengo ya varios anos informandome por este foro y creo que hacen muy buen trabajo didactico y de informacion,durante ese tiempo he visto como todos hacen una gran familia .Espero seguir aprendiendo de ustede y en la medida de lo posible aportar y pertenecer a esta gran Familia.
Hurricane’s hit Puerto Rico: San Felipe 1928, San Ciprián 1932, Santa Clara 1956, Hugo 1989, Marilyn 1995, Hortense 1996, Georges 1998, Maria 2017, Fiona 2022
Categoría 2 más aumentó su velocidad esto cambia un poco, es verdad lo que dicen nunca se confíen, ya desde ayer todos están comprando así que voy a tener que adelantarme antes de que se acabe. hay que estar pendiente, vigilando
Buenos días
Como cambia la cosa a noche me acoste con un sistema que la trayectoria era mas al norte. Hoy cambiaron un poco los muñequitos, hay que prepararse el mes de Septiembre promete un mes activo. Vamos a ver que pasa durante el dia y ya mañana mientras..Activar el plan familiar
Buenos Dias:
Para los mas experiencia que tienen en esto que implica en trayectoria que venga mas rapido? Creen que esto podria atrasar su movimeinto wsw experado. He visto varios tuitts de meterologos donde algunos indicant que al tardar mas ese giro mas cerca al subirlo otros que no daria tiempo a la alta de estar suficiente fuerte y lo subiria mas sin el wsw muy profundo etc.
Creo que en las redes hay mucha informacion y por lo que he leido mucha gente bien confundida. Es un huracan peligroso al parecer cerca de nuestras aguas. Si esto sigue asi veremos mucha gente en la tarde de hoy y mañana buscando de todo en el supermercado. En la tarde de ayer mi hijo fue a una mega tienda que venden al por mayor en el area norte y ya no quedaba agua de la marca de ellos y bien poca de las otras.
