NOAA aumenta sus numeros levemente y ahora sube a 65% de ser sobre lo normal.



https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/atlan ... of-slowing

CSU tiene 15/8/4 para el resto de la temporada.



https://tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2021-07.pdf

[Boletín de Julio de Climate Prediction Center] Tienen Vigilancia de La Niña ya que la proyección es que ENSO esté Neutral hasta Agosto (Barra gris) y desde Septiembre y por los proximos meses viene La Niña. (Barra Azul) https://i.imgur.com/cIknClS.png https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis...

Hay consenso de los modelos de ENSO que bajan de Neutral frio a La Niña para el pico de la temporada. El Jueves 8 sale el boletín de CPC.

La Tormenta Elsa va a cruzar la parte central de Cuba hoy y luego se va a mover por los cayos de Florida y la costa oeste de Florida. Tiene vientos de 65 mph y se mueve al noroeste a 14 mph.

No hay cambio a las 8 PM. Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical wave located over the central Atlantic Ocean. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible later this week and this weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at...

A las 2 PM se queda igual con 20$% y 40%. A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible after the middle of the week while the system moves westward to west-northwestwa...

8 AM- Aumenta a 40% en 5 dias. A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is producing a small cluster of showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. Some slow development is possible through the end of the week while this system moves quickly westward to we...

No hubo cambios a las 8 PM. An area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is producing a small cluster of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Some slow development is possible through the end of the week while this system moves quickly westward to west-north...

2 PM se queda igual. An area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean more than 700 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Little, if any, development of this system is expected for the ne...